Axios

Trump and Putin perfectly staged their first meeting so that both men could get what they needed out of it, politically.

"The deal": Sources close to Trump told us he went into the meeting believing it was still possible to strike a deal with Russia.

Now we have a better understanding of what that means: Secretary of State Rex Tillerson says they spent a good amount of the meeting discussing a solution to the Syrian conflict, and we saw a gift-wrapped victory, with the post-meeting announcement of a ceasefire. Tillerson held out the possibility of larger cooperation — which should be understood as possibly a deal that would encompass fighting ISIS together and resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Hillary Clinton's former campaign chairman, John Podesta, fired back at President Trump's claims that "everyone" at the G20 summit was talking about him:

"On a x-country road trip with my wife; Pulled in for a pit stop in E. Fairmont W. Va. to see that our whack job POTUS @realDonaldTrump is tweeting about me at the G20. Get a grip man, the Russians committed a crime when they stole my emails to help get you elected President. Maybe you might try to find a way to mention that to President Putin. BTW, I had nothing to do with the DNC. God only knows what you'll be raving about on twitter by the time we get to Utah. Dude, get your head in the game. You're representing the US at the G20."

Go deeper: A senior Republican foreign policy official told Axios that Trump may not even bring up Russia's election meddling at his meeting with Vladimir Putin today.

President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin's meeting at the G20 summit has ended after 2 hours and 16 minutes — it was originally planned to last only 30 minutes.

The first big news out of the meeting: Russia and the U.S. are prepared to announce a ceasefire in southwestern Syria beginning on Sunday, per the AP.

The other big news out of the meeting: During an off-camera briefing with reporters, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson stated that Trump opened the discussion by pressing Putin on the issue of Russian interference in last year's election — a charge Putin repeatedly denied. Tillerson called the election hacking an "intractable disagreement" between the two nations.

Russia's side: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that Trump accepted Putin's denials regarding election hacking. Tillerson also said that Russia had asked for proof of their involvement in any election interference, which Trump said he'd leave to the U.S. intelligence community to provide.

During a meeting with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto at the G20 summit, President Trump told reporters that he "absolutely" still expects Mexico to pay for a border wall.

Think back: Peña Nieto called Trump's bluff and cancelled a trip to Washington in January — via Twitter — after Trump attacked Mexico in a series of tweets about both NAFTA and funding for the wall.

Why it matters: It's an antagonistic move by Trump during a summit meant to built compromise and consensus between world leaders, but it's also a signal to Trump's base that he's standing by his campaign pledge.

A federal judge in Hawaii Thursday denied a request filed by the state seeking to clarify the Supreme Court ruling on the scope of President Trump's travel ban, and told lawyers that they must take their motion to the Supreme Court, per CNN.

Refresher: Last month, the Supreme Court allowed Trump's 90-day ban to go into effect for foreign travelers who lack any "bona fide relationship with any person or entity in the United States." But Hawaii argued Thursday that he ruling was too narrow, and wrongly excluded grandparents and other close relatives.

What's next: Hawaii plans to appeal the judge's ruling to the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals, the same court that upheld Hawaii's block on the second version of the ban in June.

Why it matters: The Supreme Court will review arguments in the case when the justices return from summer recess in October, at which point they will make their final ruling. Expect Hawaii's pushback to play a role in their decision.

WashPost, top of Metro section, "Poll: 1 in 3 in D.C. has protested Trump," by Paul Schwartzman and Emily Guskin:

"One out of every three Washingtonians has marched in protest against President Trump or his policies at least once since January, making the District the capital of national dissent, a new Washington Post poll finds."

"53 percent of white residents participated in a march or demonstration in opposition to Trump's policies since the start of the year, compared with 16 percent of African Americans and 36 percent of Hispanics and those of other racial and ethnic groups."

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Russian spies have been stepping up their intelligence gathering efforts in the U.S. since the election, feeling emboldened by the lack of significant U.S. response to Russian election meddling, current and former U.S. intelligence officials told CNN. There are nearly 150 suspected spies currently in the U.S. (Recall, Barack Obama booted 35 Russian diplomats suspected of spying in 2016.)

Why it matters: As CNN writes, "Russians are targeting people in the US who can provide access to classified information" and are also trying to hack the U.S. government for intel.

Recode's Tony Romm notes that some of the same tech executives who have been critical of the White House are still putting up cash to support Republican congressional candidates. That includes Elon Musk, who left several presidential councils when Trump withdrew from the Paris climate accords, and Google and Alphabet execs Sundar Pichai and Eric Schmidt.

Why it matters: Silicon Valley's political donations at the corporate level tend to be evenhanded because of the big issues — like taxes and trade — that companies care about. Companies believe they need allies on both sides of the aisle even if their executives and employees disagree with those lawmakers personally. Pichai, for example, gave not only to the Republican Senate campaign arm but also to its Democratic counterpart.

A new survey from Pew finds that Americans have more confidence in German Chancellor Angela Merkel (56%) "to do the right thing regarding world affairs" than they do in President Trump (46%).

The U.S. is not alone: Most residents of G20 countries have more confidence in Merkel than Trump, and in seven leading countries — Germany, France, South Korea, the U.K., Canada, Japan and Australia — the margin is at least 40% in Merkel's favor.

Trump vs. Obama: Confidence in the U.S. president dropped in 35 of 37 countries since Barack Obama left office. In European countries, confidence in Trump is as low as 7%. Sweden had the biggest drop, from 93% under Obama to 10% now.

Why it matters: Trump is meeting with world leaders, including Merkel, at the G20 summit in Germany today and tomorrow where he'll seek support for his policies on climate change, trade, and immigration. His unpopularity around the world — and in the U.S. — won't help.

19 attorneys general sued Education Secretary Betsy DeVos Thursday, challenging her decision to scratch rules that would have erased students' federal loan debt if their colleges defrauded them, per AP. DeVos argued the rules created "a muddled process that's unfair to students and schools" and she wants a "regulatory reset."

The rules suspended were to take effect July 1 and would have also barred for-profit colleges from forcing students to remedy issues outside of court through arbitration.

Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey is leading the suit, and she claims DeVos "sided with for-profit school executives against students."

Roughly 20 military veterans have announced they are planning to run as Democrats for the House of Representatives next year — a result of a push by the Democratic Party to win back the 24 seats needed to secure the House majority in the Midterm elections, reports The New York Times.

Although most of the vets were recruited by the party, many told NYT they feel it's their duty to run for office, as they believe Trump's policies threaten the nation's values and national security. Specifically, they cited Trump's approach to foreign policy (his willingness to dismiss allies and embrace adversaries) and his decision to leave many State Department posts vacant months after his inauguration.

The goal: Democrats hope that military candidates will be a refreshing contrast to established career politicians, as well as strengthen the notion that the party will take a stricter stance on national security.

President Trump met with leaders of the Baltic and Central European countries, including Polish President Duda and Croatian President Graves-Kitarovic, at a Three Seas roundtable Thursday.

The Three Seas Initiative is an alliance among a dozen eastern and central European nations in the Adriatic, Baltic and Black seas region. One of the group's leading priorities is to make the region less dependent on Russian energy. "The United States will never use energy to coerce your nations. We stand ready willing and able to help with your energy needs and other needs," Trump said.

Trump, flanked by his U.S. delegation, told the group of leaders that the "region has a special importance to me. As you know, my wife is from Slovenia." He then said the U.S. stands with the Three Seas nations, welcoming the opportunity to expand their economic partnership.

Trump in Warsaw this morning, at the first overseas press conference of his presidency, per AP:

• "Trump says he agrees that Russia meddled in the 2016 presidential election, but he is repeating his assertion that he believes 'other countries' may have done the same ... 'nobody really knows for sure.' He was speaking a day ahead of his first face-to-face meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin."
• "Trump said people say Obama 'choked' but he believes Obama purposely 'did nothing' because he thought Democrat Hillary Clinton would win the election."

In Warsaw this morning, President Trump delivered what the White House sees as one of the most important speeches of his presidency. He didn't identify himself with the nationalist populist ruling party in Poland, but has something grander in mind.

• The president presented himself as the leader of the West during an address to thousands of Poles in a public square. Trump's team, led by senior policy adviser Stephen Miller, saw an opportunity to use the story of the Polish resistance as the setting for a new rallying cry to Western civilization.
• But, but, but ... "America first" stings in places that aren't America, and Trump's neglect or contempt of traditional alliances has risked the office's traditional mantle as leader of the free world.
• From Trump's text: "The fundamental question of our time is whether the West has the will to survive. ... Our own fight for the West does not begin on the battlefield — it begins with our minds, our wills, and our souls."

Rep. Steve Scalise, the Louisiana Republican who was critically shot on June 14, was originally moved out of the ICU on June 23. Now he's back in the ICU, according to a statement released by his office late Wednesday:

"Congressman Steve Scalise has been readmitted to the Intensive Care Unit at MedStar Washington Hospital Center due to new concerns for infection. His condition is listed as serious. We will provide another update tomorrow, July 6."

Canada is making an open and determined play to attract tech stars and investors to move north amid the squeeze of immigrants by President Donald Trump, and they are starting to respond.

Salim Teja, director of venture services for Mars, Toronto's sprawling innovation hub, tells Axios that hundreds of tech workers and students have applied for positions in Canadian tech firms and to study at the University of Toronto. Among the notable attractions are new artificial intelligence labs led by some of the world's leaders in the field:

• Geoffrey Hinton, the neural networks pioneer, will run the Vector Institute on Artificial Intelligence, which was launched in March in Toronto (photo above).
• DeepMind, the AI powerhouse owned by Alphabet, the Google parent, said Wednesday that it had hired machine learning pioneer Rich Sutton and two other University of Alberta computer scientists to lead a research facility in Edmonton, its first outside the UK.

Why it matters: Canada is among at least two big western countries — the other is France — to attempt to capitalize on Trump's crackdown on immigration, foreign visitors, and some of the policies many of them care about, such as climate change, to swell their own tech cachet. Early statistics suggest that at least Canada is snagging some of them to jobs and university spots.

Former U.S. officials who've been on hand for meetings with Vladimir Putin describe him with a mix of wariness and begrudging respect.

President Trump's aides are understandably anxious ahead of Friday's meeting with Putin, a seasoned political operator and former K.G.B. officer. Here's a list of past Putin experiences, recounted by the Washington Post, the New York Times and The Independent.

A little-noticed provision of the Senate health care bill — one that provides new insurance options for small businesses and the self-employed — could have big consequences, potentially making it harder for sick people to get affordable coverage.

• What the experts say: The provision, as written, could cause "fragmentation of the market resulting from an unlevel playing field. This is likely to lead to cherry-picking, adverse selection, and increased costs for sicker individuals," the American Academy of Actuaries wrote in a letter to members of Congress and governors.
• This echoes concerns about Sen. Ted Cruz' proposal to let some insurers offer plans that don't comply with the Affordable Care Act's regulations. "This is kind of a baby version of the Cruz amendment, in that it creates a parallel, much more loosely regulated insurance market," Larry Levitt, vice president of the nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation, told me.
• What we're watching: Whether the provision, which establishes "small business health plans," starts to get more attention among Republican senators. Although conservatives support the idea, wary moderates could be turned off by its potential consequences.