Thursday's economy stories

India, China's regulation of crypto "weakly correlated" with participation
India and China discourage their citizens from participating in cryptocurrency, yet they see strong adoption nevertheless.
Why it matters: The two countries are cases for updated research on regulation around the world that shows people are going to find a way to buy cryptocurrency.
Charted: Bud Light slips further




Bud Light is now No. 3.
Why it matters: The brand has yet to recover from a boycott in April 2023, shortly after which Modelo Especial knocked it out of the top spot in terms of beer dollar sales in U.S. stores, a position it had held for over two decades.
- The latest: Michelob Ultra moved into the No. 2 spot in May, according to data from NielsenIQ analyzed by the consulting firm Bump Williams and reported earlier today by WSJ.

New this week on Netflix, Apple TV+ and Peacock
Here's what's new on Netflix, Hulu, Tubi, Apple TV+, Prime Video, BET+, Peacock, Paramount+ and Max.
What we're watching: A new docuseries about Simone Biles' journey to this summer's Olympics, the beginning of the "Cobra Kai" finale and a limited series starring Natalie Portman and Moses Ingram.
HODLing under crypto bans
India and China discourage their citizens from participating in cryptocurrency, yet they see strong adoption nevertheless.
Why it matters: The two countries are cases for updated research on regulation around the world that shows people are going to find a way to buy cryptocurrency.
The Atlantic Council, which is tracking crypto regulation in 60 nations, assessed their impacts using data from Chainalysis, the leading crypto tracking company.
- It found that whole or partial bans are "weakly correlated" with reducing participation.
By the numbers: 33 nations legalized holding cryptocurrency and 27 generally or partially banned it.
State Street said to be exploring stablecoins, deposit token
Financial services giant State Street, with roughly $41.8 trillion in assets under custody or administration, is said to be weighing the creation of a stablecoin and deposit token as part of a crypto-solution around settlement, per a Bloomberg report published yesterday.
💭 Our thought bubble: It makes sense that the Boston-based firm, which includes SSGA, the asset management arm behind the SPDR ETFs, would reach for blockchain technology in this way.
- Its own stablecoin or deposit token would probably not be consumer-facing, but rather for performing back-office functions, with a set of approved counterparties.
State Street did not respond to emailed queries asking for confirmation.
Crypto VCs split on the election
Blockchain-loving venture capitalists are tending toward former President Trump in the 2024 election, but it's not unanimous.
Why it matters: Where business leader endorsements go, financial support for campaigns is likely to flow.
The latest: On Tuesday, the founders of Andreessen Horowitz (aka, a16z) posted a YouTube video about their decision to back the Republican candidate.
- Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz give several reasons, but their frustrations over crypto policy seem to be the one they take the most personally.
What they're saying: "I've been in absolute shock that this has ever happened," Andreessen said. "This has been a brutal assault on a nascent industry that I've never experienced before ... it's been impossible to make progress in this with the White House."

How Trump could (and couldn't) reshape the Fed
If former President Trump wins in November, he will have the opportunity to reshape leadership of America's central bank.
- But he will face a choice: whether to follow standard historical practice and do so patiently or to attempt to do so quickly, which would likely lead to legal uncertainty and rattled markets.
The big picture: Trump offered frequent, harsh criticism of chair Jerome Powell and the Fed when he was last in office, and some of his allies have advocated dramatic steps to rein in Fed independence.

Vance's memoir soars after Trump picks him as running mate
"Hillbilly Elegy" — the 2016 memoir that turned Sen. J.D. Vance into a national celebrity — is back on Amazon's bestseller book list with sales skyrocketing since he became Trump's running mate.
Why it matters: The book is considered one of the most influential books of the last decade and explains the rage of working-class America against elites that propelled Trump into office.

How Detroit's lowest moment launched its turnaround
Eleven years ago today, Detroit hit rock bottom — but that low point set the city up for a comeback.
Why it matters: The Motor City filed for the largest municipal bankruptcy case in U.S. history at 4:06pm Thursday, July 18, 2013.


Bill Hagerty says Trump sees blockchain's potential
U.S. Senator and Banking Committee member Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.) said that former president Donald Trump sees the potential of blockchain technology to advance the U.S. economy.
Why it matters: Blockchain technology has become a wedge issue between the two leading contenders for America's highest office, and it's an industry that's shown a willingness to spend an enormous amount of money to get supportive politicians elected.

Streaming usage hits new U.S. record

Americans spent 40.3% of their TV viewing time in June on streaming services, a record high, according to Nielsen.
Why it matters: The growth was driven by younger viewers (ages 2-17), who had more time to watch TV last month after the school year concluded.

Axios House: GOP lawmakers feel confident in Trump’s VP pick J.D. Vance
MILWAUKEE – Top GOP lawmakers said former President Trump's decision to select Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate will help them win in battleground states and relate to the needs of working class Americans in interviews with Axios reporters this week.
- Catch up quick: Axios House hosted an event during the week of the Republican National Convention on Monday about the cost of living crisis, sponsored by Save The Children. Next month Axios House will host events at the Democratic National Convention.
Unequivocal support for Vance as the VP resounded among lawmakers, many of whom noted Vance's personal story as the "American dream."
- National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman and Montana Sen. Steve Daines, said Vance will be able to uniquely appeal to "lunchbucket Democrats" and will be able to help Republicans in down-ballot Senate races.
- Indiana Rep. Jim Banks said, "President Trump is the leader of the Republican party and the 'America First' movement. J.D. Vance is the next generation of it."
Separately, Alabama freshman Sen. Katie Britt called the GOP the party of hardworking Americans and families while addressing the high cost of childcare.
- "I remember when my husband and I were looking to send our kids to daycare. I mean, it felt like we needed to take out a second mortgage. I'm not kidding."
- "If entering the workforce or re-emerging into it– if an impediment to that is that you cannot afford childcare, then we as a nation have got to figure that out and do better."
As more information comes out about the attempted assassination of Trump, Daines told Axios' Stef Kight that this is a moment to "take the temperature down" when it comes to political divisiveness.
- "Hateful rhetoric…is not a one-party problem, this extends across both parties."
- "I think the American people are yearning for more of a policy debate versus a personality kind of contest."
- Meanwhile, Banks told Axios' Sophia Cai how Trump "won't back down, he won't stop doing whatever it takes to win," and pointed to the moment on Saturday where Trump raised his fist in the air right after being shot.
In other news, Daines also said there needs to be more of a conversation about Trump's plan for aggressive tariffs on China.
- He said that he'd be "more inclined to do targeted type tariffs…versus something that's just universal" and that "unilateral" tariffs are "something you want to be thoughtful about."
- Trump's tariff plans could increase the cost of living for middle-income households by $1,700 per year, according to Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Content from sponsored segment below:
In a View From the Top conversation, Save the Children Action Network founder and special advisor to the Save the Children president, Mark Shriver, discussed their new polling which shows that the cost of living challenge is a priority for many voters no matter what party they're tied to.
- "These issues matter to people, to working families. They matter to Republicans and Democrats and independents. Yet the political leadership does not make this a priority. That's the thing that's most surprising to me."
- "It's not just urban settings– it's rural America, very strong support in rural America, in urban settings, and in suburban areas, but we have not figured out how to get that message out and to find enough political leadership on the federal level that will push these issues."
Charted: MakerDAO's token on-pace with ether




Speaking of MakerDAO, its governance token looks like a standout in the world of decentralized finance (DeFi).
- The token's price has been popping off lately amid the DAO's broader plans to remake its image.
- 👆What's more impressive is its long-term performance, per Kaiko.
The big picture: Maker is the only OG asset to have kept up pace with Ethereum's ether (ETH) since the start of 2021, while outperforming Uniswap's and Aave's respective UNI and AAVE tokens too, according to Messari.
Big names move into and out of crypto media
Yesterday was a big day for major names in media making moves with regard to the cryptocurrency business.
Why it matters: Media moves tend to be a bit of a lagging indicator of crypto market cycles.
What we're watching: The founder of political stats news site 538, Nate Silver, has become an advisor to Polymarket, the company that seems to own the prediction market business these days, Axios reported first yesterday.
- Silver told Axios' Sara Fischer that he foresees prediction markets helping business leaders to assess political risks for their businesses.
- "Nate has been an inspiration for me since long before I started Polymarket," the company's founder, Shayne Coplan, tweeted as he shared the news.

Whole Foods adds "surprise bags" of discounted food
Too Good To Go, an app that allows consumers to snag cheap eats and helps businesses reduce food waste, is expanding into Whole Foods stores nationwide.
Why it matters: Food waste in the U.S. accounts for 30 to 40% of the food supply, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

How J.D. Vance's economic philosophy departs from conservative tradition
Former President Trump's selection of J.D. Vance as his vice presidential nominee elevates a young senator whose economic views are significantly at odds with conservative intellectual tradition.
Why it matters: If the Trump-Vance ticket prevails in November, Vance will not only have a seat at the table in shaping policy over the next four years but will be a favorite to be the Republican standard-bearer in 2028, raising the possibility of a lasting shift in the party's economic agenda.

New $299 Trump sneakers show ex-president in aftermath of shooting
A Trump-owned company is selling limited-edition sneakers depicting former President Trump with blood on his cheek and his hand raised in a fist for $299 a pair.
Why it matters: It's the latest indication that pro-Trump vendors are capitalizing off iconic images of the Republican presidential nominee in the aftermath of Saturday's assassination attempt on him as they push for his election.

Trump talks Fed, Tiktok, crypto in Businessweek interview
Donald Trump is well aware of CEOs' desire to back whoever's likely to win the presidential election — which, right now, means himself.
Driving the news: In a big new interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, Trump declared that "Whoever's leading gets all the support they want. I could have the personality of a shrimp, and everybody would come."










