Axios

The U.S. is still projected to achieve two-thirds of the emissions cuts from power generation that would have occurred without the rollbacks of the Biden-era climate law and regulations, a new study concludes.

Why it matters: It puts an exclamation point on what we explored yesterday: low-carbon energy is surviving, in weakened form, despite the 2025 GOP budget law that slashed renewables subsidies.

Ohio, Oklahoma, Arizona, South Carolina and Minnesota have sustained some of the deepest losses in Obamacare coverage since beefed-up federal subsidies expired this year, according to state-by-state federal data.

Why it matters: The coverage losses are hitting deep-red states as well as blue ones after Congress let the subsidies expire.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer called on Graham Platner to "immediately" end his campaign, throwing the Maine Senate race into chaos just four months before Election Day.

Why it matters: Maine was Democrats' best opportunity to flip a Senate seat. Now, it has become Schumer's worst nightmare.

Graham Platner, the Democratic nominee in Maine's Senate race, said he is "taking the time" to consider his next steps after a woman accused him of sexually assaulting her in 2021.

Why it matters: Platner, who denied the allegation, stopped short of saying he would end his campaign, but indicated he is weighing its future as he seeks to unseat Republican Sen. Susan Collins.

Toyota says it will move production of the Tacoma pickup truck to the United States from Mexico as part of a $3.6 billion investment in its San Antonio, Texas, manufacturing campus.

Why it matters: The move allows the Japanese carmaker to sidestep uncertainty regarding U.S. trade policy with Mexico and Canada, and will no doubt please the Trump administration, which has been pressuring automakers to build more vehicles in the United States.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune will be a special guest at a fundraiser for Texas candidate Ken Paxton later this month, according to an invite obtained by Axios.

Why it matters: Thuneworld and the National Republican Senatorial Committee spent months fighting Paxton's primary bid against Sen. John Cornyn (R-Tex.). Now, they need Paxton to protect their majority.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu complained to President Trump on Friday about Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's escalating anti-Israel rhetoric, according to Israeli and U.S. officials.

• Netanyahu also asked Trump, who will meet Erdoğan during this week's NATO summit in Ankara, to refrain from selling weapons systems that would help Turkey modernize its air force, the officials said.

Why it matters: Israel-Turkey tensions have soared over the last two years amid the wars in Gaza and Iran. But Trump has kept close, friendly ties with both Netanyahu and Erdoğan — a key U.S. ally and regional mediator.

World Cup fans' romance with America has soured after FIFA suspended a red-card ban on U.S. striker Folarin Balogun for the match against Belgium.

Why it matters: Soccer officials and fans allege that FIFA is bending its own disciplinary rules under political pressure from President Trump — raising questions about whether the sport's governing body is giving the U.S. a boost due to the president's close relationship with FIFA president Gianni Infantino.

The Union of European Football Associations said FIFA "crossed a red line" by lifting U.S. striker Folarin Balogun's one-match suspension.

Why it matters: UEFA, which represents most of Europe's soccer federations, came out swinging after FIFA reversed course — a move that followed President Trump's call to FIFA President Gianni Infantino demanding answers about why the U.S. star had been sidelined.

Lockheed Martin on Monday said it has agreed to acquire naval defense-tech firm Ultra Maritime for $3.45 billion from private equity firm Advent International.

Why it matters: The Strait of Hormuz situation has escalated demand for underseas autonomous weapons, both offensive and defensive.