Wednesday's politics & policy stories

DHS outlines plans for Trump's "deportation force"
An internal Department of Homeland Security document outlines the steps that the Trump administration hopes to take to put together a nationwide deportation force for illegal immigrants, per the Washington Post.
The big things:
- 33,000 more beds on the border for detained illegal immigrants
- broader powers for local police forces to act as immigration enforcement
- lower hiring standards for CBP and ICE officers
- the construction of a border wall prototype by July
The caveats: DHS told WaPo that the document was "preliminary," so there's no guarantee that they undertake these steps. Additionally, the costs associated are likely to be enormous, making congressional appropriation of funds extremely difficult.


Trump: “I said [NATO] was obsolete, it’s no longer obsolete”
During his joint press conference with NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg in the White House's East Room, President Trump walked back some of his campaign trail rhetoric against the military alliance, saying "I said [NATO] was obsolete. It's no longer obsolete."
Some other news: Trump announced National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster will head to Afghanistan to consult with Afghan and NATO commanders on the ground.

How and when presidents pivot (and what Trump could do)
Presidents frequently have to change their tactics or message at some point during their presidency, as D.C. lobbying firm Mehlman Castagnetti points out in their "Understanding Trump's Washington" overview:
- George H. W. Bush relented to the Democratic Congress and agreed to tax increases to pass a budget in 1990.
- Bill Clinton reformed welfare and agreed to a more balanced budget after a disastrous 1994 midterm election for Dems.
- George W. Bush sent more troops to Iraq and backed an immigration bill allowing easier paths to citizenship after a bad 2006 midterm election for the GOP.
- Barack Obama, in 2014, used an Executive Order to pass DACA and promoted Clean Power Plan and the Paris Accord after failing to pass bipartisan legislation.

Trump vs Trump on China's currency manipulation
In an interview with the WSJ Wednesday, President Trump said the Chinese are "not currency manipulators." He used to feel differently:
@realDonaldTrump Oct. 2011: "When will Washington stand up to China. China is manipulating its currency and stealing our jobs. Washington should move on legislation."
@realDonaldTrump Dec. 2011: "When will the US government finally classify China as a currency manipulator? China is robbing us blind and @BarackObama defends them."

What you need to know about chemical weapons
The issue
Russia, Syria, and the U.S. disagree about whether Syria used chemical weapons against its citizens in an April 4 attack. Russia and Syria claim Syria doesn't have chemical weapons, but the U.S. says it has evidence the Syrian government deployed the chemical attack and that Russia knew about it beforehand.
As the international community probes into who was behind the attack, here's what you need to know about chemical weapons:
The facts
A chemical weapon is commonly thought to be a commercial chemical that is used against people to cause mass casualties. But it's not just the chemical used in an attack — it's also the method of deployment, per the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). That means if a country possesses the munitions or equipment to deploy chemicals, but not the chemicals themselves, it is still in violation of humanitarian and criminal laws.
History: Chemical weapons were first used widely in World War I. Italian Prime Minister Benito Mussolini, Japanese Emperor Hirohito, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, and Iraqi President Saddam Hussein have all been responsible for deploying chemical weapons.
Countries with declared chemical weapons production facilities, per the OPCW: Russia, Syria, Iran, China, Iraq, Libya, UK, U.S., France, India, Japan, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, each at various stages in destruction plans.
Syria's accountability: Although Syria is party to the Geneva Gas Protocol, it is not party to the CWC. And because Syria isn't party to the Statute of the International Criminal Court, the court prosecutor can only take up the matter if there is a Security Council resolution authorizing it.
Why it matters
The bottom line is using chemical weapons is a war crime, but no one wants to be tagged with this atrocity.

Trump says China is not a currency manipulator
President Trump no longer plans to label China a currency manipulator, despite repeated campaign promises to do so "on day one," according to an interview published Thursday in the Wall Street Journal. And he was pretty blunt about it:
They're not currency manipulators.
What changed? Now that Trump is actually president, he realizes that such a public rebuke of China could endanger talks over bigger issues like North Korea. Plus, China stopped undervaluing its currency years ago.

Mulvaney's realistic approach to Trump's economy
President Trump's Budget Director Mick Mulvaney spoke with CNBC's John Harwood about what to expect from the administration's four-year economic plan — and he's more realistic about what is and isn't possible.
Our thought bubble: Mulvaney is known as a deficit hawk, but he says he's planning to work within the constraints the president has set out (no entitlement cuts, infrastructure and military spending on the rise), so it won't be easy to cut spending and eliminate the debt to the degree he might otherwise like.

Kellyanne Conway: "I'm not the darkness"
Kellyanne Conway shared her views on the media's relationship with President Trump and his administration at the Newseum's "The President and the Press" event this morning. One of her main talking points was her perception that the media is still unable to connect properly with the voters who carried Trump to the White House:
The forgotten man and woman didn't just come out of nowhere. They still feel like they're forgotten given how this administration — this president — is being presented to them.
Quick take: Conway's criticism of the media was consistent with the administration's rhetoric, but it was an interesting narrative to maintain given the event's focus on the First Amendment and the event's location at the Newseum.

Sean Spicer: "I screwed up"
At the Newseum's "The President and the Press" event this morning, Greta van Susteren spoke with Sean Spicer, immediately asking him about the question on everyone's mind — yesterday's Holocaust moment:
"I made a mistake. There's no other way to say it. I got into a topic that I shouldn't have and I screwed up. I hope people understand that we all make mistakes. I hope I showed that I understand that I did that….And I hope each person can understand that part of existing is if you can own up to it, you do it — and I did."
His two big takeaways:
- Personal: "To make a gaffe like this is inexcusable. Of all weeks, this compounds that kind of mistake. It's painful to myself to know that I did something like that."
- Professional: "Your job as the spokesperson is to help amplify the president's actions and accomplishments…it's distracting, I feel like I've let the president down."

Here's who believes Trump's wiretapping claim
This morning on Fox Business, President Trump boasted that he's had "so many people" tell him that he was right about his claim that Obama had his "wires tapped" for political reasons. "What they did was horrible," he said.
Quick review: There was an investigation into the situation after Trump's first wiretapping tweet allegation, but it didn't prove anything. Then there was a twist in the plot when House Intel Committee Chairman Devin Nunes announced he'd received evidence of the Obama administration spying on Trump's people. But it later came out that Nunes got his info from Trump's people after he was caught on White House grounds in security footage. Eventually, Nunes dropped out of the investigation and it will continue without him.

Records confirm Manafort received payments from Ukraine
Financial records confirm that Paul Manafort's firm received at least $1.2 million in payments from clients, which were originally listed on a handwritten ledger that surfaced in Ukraine in August when Manafort was still Trump's campaign chairman, The Associated Press reported.
Why it matters: Although the details of the ledger are unrelated to the 2016 presidential election, the newly-confirmed payouts suggest Manafort had pro-Russia operations while he was managing Trump's presidential campaign — and he is currently part of a larger FBI investigation into Trump campaign members and their potential ties to Russia.

Trump kneecaps Bannon
Allies of Steve Bannon fear the White House chief strategist is about to be pushed out, following the posting last night of an ominous interview with Trump by Michael Goodwin, a New York Post columnist and someone the president has been comfortable with over many years.
What it means: Axios' Jonathan Swan points out that if Bannon goes, there's no one of similar status in the White House who has the status to push the nationalist agenda to Trump – and more centrist figures are already ascendant (Jivanka, Gary Cohn). Without Bannon's voice, this becomes a much more conventional White House. It would be an acute normalizing of the staff, although no one can normalize Trump.

Trump claims victory on wiretapping
President Trump told Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo in an interview that aired Wednesday that the Susan Rice reports revealed his "wiretapping" claims were justified.
So many people have come up to me and said 'you were right.'— President Trump
Trump rolled his eyes when Bartiromo added that Rice claimed the surveillance wasn't for political reasons. He added: "Does anybody believe that? What they did was horrible."

Trump: Putin is backing "an evil person"
President Trump, in an interview with Maria Bartiromo that will air shortly on Fox Business, said the U.S. is "not going into Syria," even after last week's missile strikes.
The eye-popping quote: He also called Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad an "animal," saying it was "very bad for Russia" that Vladimir Putin is backing an "evil person".

Trump's talk big, act small White House
Visitors to Steve Bannon's West Wing office are often taken by his whiteboard, covered with promises from the campaign trail. Trump's chief strategist checks off tasks when they're accomplished, but there are some pledges on Bannon's whiteboard that nobody believes will be met — not in the first 100 days, and in some conspicuous cases, not ever.
Why this matters: Trump has made a career of talking big — and, in many cases, delivering. In his 1987 book "The Art of the Deal," he describes his sales technique as "truthful hyperbole." Trump's grandest campaign promises, however, are crashing into an immovable object: Washington. When Trump's first term is up, his actual accomplishments — as opposed to his rhetoric — could look more like the Republican presidencies we're used to than the one Trump promised.













