Axios

Oil prices could surge to an unprecedented $200 a barrel if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, analysts warn.

Why it matters: President Trump is weighing ending the U.S. war on Iran without reopening the strait — raising the once-unthinkable prospect that this key energy artery could stay shut indefinitely.

Women are less likely to use AI at work — and even when they do, they get less recognition for the effort, finds a new survey from Lean In, the women's advocacy group.

Why it matters: Right now, AI ability is the skill many employers say they value most.

House Speaker Mike Johnson is inching closer to hard red lines on future negotiations over the Department of Homeland Security.

• "They sent us a bill that literally put the number zero in the bill for the funding of border security and customs and immigration enforcement. We can't do that," Johnson (R-La.) said Tuesday on Fox News.
• At the same time, President Trump is weighing whether to use a rare constitutional power to force Congress to return next week, he told the New York Post on Tuesday.

Why it matters: Senate Republicans have already yielded to Dems' shutdown hostage taking on ICE funding, and Trump — who's been all over the place — weakened the GOP's leverage by paying TSA.