
- Josh Kraushaar, author ofAxios Sneak Peek
Oct 1, 2022 - Politics & Policy
1. The coming power shift

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
Fundamentals still matter in politics: The party out of power almost always gains congressional seats in a midterm. Presidents with underwater job approval ratings typically suffer sizable congressional losses.
Why it matters: Yes, Democrats' fortunes have improved, but the most likely outcome of the midterm elections is still a shift in power to the Republicans — and bigger headaches for President Biden over the next two years.