Data: CarbonPlan; Note: Estimate uses median high WBGT from 26 climatological models; Chart: Simran Parwani and Erin Davis/Axios
Virginia will be too hot to host the Summer Olympics within the next 30 years.
Why it matters: Listen, we know that Richmond wouldn't have an Olympic stadium (or even a pro football team, for that matter), but scorching temperatures affect the health of athletes and attendees — Olympic or not.
The big picture: An Axios analysis of CarbonPlan data found that in 2050, 60% of the world will experience Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures (WBGT) above 82°F in the usual time period of the Summer Olympics.
That's the American College of Sports Medicine's recommended threshold for canceling outdoor, continuous activity to avoid heat illness.
And WBGT refers to a forecast tool that projects how much stress someone's body will be in when doing physical activity in direct sunlight.
Zoom in: CarbonPlan's models estimate that 92% of weather stations in Virginiawill experience temperatures above the "cancel activity" level in 2050, compared to 50% of stations in 2020.
The intrigue: The International Olympic Committee is already planning heat protocols for the 2028 Summer Olympics in L.A.
There's also the World Cup in 2026, which will partially be played in the U.S. in cities such as Miami, Atlanta and Dallas.
Virginia doesn't have a World Cup spot, which makes sense since we can't even hold on to all of our NASCAR races.