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Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. Elizabeth Warren at the Polk County Democrats' Steak Fry in Des Moines, Iowa, Saturday. Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has overtaken 2020 rival Joe Biden in Iowa to snatch the lead in a Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll of preferred Democratic presidential candidates published Saturday night.

Why it matters: Per the Des Moines Register, this is the first time Warren has led in the state's poll. It's the latest in a series of surges in the polls for the Massachusetts senator. She's also been drawing big crowds in recent weeks.

  • Warren drew her largest campaign rally crowd of the 2020 cycle last Monday, when more than 20,000 people flocked to see her at Washington Square Park in New York City.

By the numbers: The poll of 602 likely Democratic caucusgoers was conducted Sept. 14-18, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. 22% of those polled say Warren is their pick for president. Former Vice President Biden is second with 20% and Sen. Bernie Sanders is the next closest at 11%.

Yes, but: While Warren and Biden appear to have pulled away from the rest of the Democratic presidential pack in Iowa, 63% of those polled said they could still change their mind after picking a top choice. Just 20% said they were decided on a first-choice candidate.

The big picture: Warren surged to the top of the Iowa poll as she joined 16 other Democratic presidential candidates at the state's annual Polk County Steak Fry in Des Moines, which drew a crowd of more than 12,200, according to the organizers, the Polk County Democrats.

  • Warren won the biggest applause at the event, for reiterating her call for President Trump to be impeached, the New York Times reports.

Go deeper:

Editor's note: This article has been updated with new details throughout.

Go deeper

Updated 44 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Omicron dashboard

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

  1. Health: CDC director says number of U.S. Omicron cases "likely to rise" — Two years of COVID-19 — Prior coronavirus infections may not protect well against Omicron.
  2. Vaccines: Data demonstrates most-vaccinated counties less vulnerable to worst of COVID — Omicron adds urgency to vaccinating world — Omicron fuels the case for COVID boosters.
  3. Politics: Nevada to impose insurance surcharge on unvaccinated state workers — New Jersey GOP lawmakers defy statehouse COVID policy — Oklahoma sues Biden administration over Pentagon vaccine mandate.
  4. World: Vaccine mandates lose steam in the U.S. while Europe doubles downWHO: Delta health measures help fight Omicron — COVID cases surge in South Africa in sign Omicron wave is coming.
  5. Variant tracker: Where different strains are spreading.

Vulnerable Democrats: Less Trump talk

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Vulnerable House Democrats are convinced they need to talk less about the man who helped them get elected: President Trump.

Why it matters: Democrats are privately concerned nationalizing the 2022 mid-terms with emotionally-charged issues — from Critical Race Theory to Donald Trump's role in the Jan. 6 insurrection — will hamstring their ability to sell the local benefits of President Biden's Build Back Better agenda.

Updated 2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Bipartisan tributes flood in for "giant of the Senate" Bob Dole

Then-Vice President Joe Biden and former Sen. Bob Dole at an event put on by the World Food Program where he was awarded the first “McGovern-Dole Leadership Award” in December 2013. Photo: Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call

Republican and Democratic politicians, including former Senate colleagues, are sharing condolences and memories commemorating the life of Bob Dole, who passed away at 98 on Sunday morning.

The big picture: Dole, the Republican presidential nominee in 1996, was the longest serving Republican leader in the Senate until 2018, when current Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell surpassed his record.