Sep 17, 2019

Enthusiasm for Elizabeth Warren surges in new 2020 poll

Elizabeth Warren speaks during a rally in Washington Square Park in New York City, Sept. 16. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

2020 candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren has surged 6% since July in a new WSJ/NBC poll of 506 Democratic primary voters, breaking out from the rest of the field to secure her spot in 2nd place (25%) behind former Vice President Joe Biden (31%).

The big picture: Despite polling behind Biden in the overall horserace, Warren led the pack when voters were asked which candidates they feel "enthusiastic" about. The poll shows her enthusiasm figures have grown from 20% in March to 35% in September, while Biden has dropped from 33% to 23%. On Monday night, Warren drew her largest campaign rally crowd of the 2020 cycle when over 20,000 people came out to New York City's Washington Square Park.

Overall polling, per WSJ/NBC:

  • Joe Biden: 31% (+5%)
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren: 25% (+6%)
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders: 14% (+1%)
  • Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 7% (0%)
  • Sen. Kamala Harris: 5% (-8%)
  • Entrepreneur Andrew Yang: 4% (+2%)
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar: 2% (+1%)
  • Sen. Cory Booker: 2% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke: 1% (-1%)
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: 1% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. John Delaney: 1% (0%)
  • Billionaire Tom Steyer: 1% (N/A)
  • Sen. Michael Bennet: 1% (0%)
  • Mayor Bill de Blasio: 1% (+1%)
  • Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro: 1% (0%)

Methodology: The NBC/WSJ poll of 506 Democratic primary voters was conducted Sept. 13–16 — including more than half who were reached by cellphone — and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Go deeper: What you need to know about the 2020 candidates, in under 500 words

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CNN's October Democratic debate will take place on 1 night

Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images

October's Democratic primary debates hosted by CNN and the New York Times will be take place on a single night — Oct. 15 — with 12 candidates on stage.

Why it matters: Even as lower-tier candidates have been racing to reach the Democratic National Committee's higher qualification requirements, the crowded stage will further limit the field's ability to stand out. September's debate, which had 10 candidates on stage over 3 hours, only saw 2 candidates, frontrunners Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, get more than 15 minutes of speaking time, per the New York Times.

Go deeperArrowSep 27, 2019

The 2020 candidates who have qualified for the next Democratic debate

Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren. Photos: Scott Olson/Getty Images, Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images, and Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

The fourth round of Democratic debates will be held on Oct. 15 in Westerville, Ohio, with 12 candidates onstage, making it the biggest single-night debate to date. 

How it works: This debate had the same requirements as September's. Qualifying candidates must have reached 2% in 4 DNC-approved polls and drawn 130,000 unique donors — including 400 donors in 20 different states. Oct. 1 was the final day to make the cut.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Oct 2, 2019

Warren surges to top spot in Iowa poll

Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. Elizabeth Warren at the Polk County Democrats' Steak Fry in Des Moines, Iowa, Saturday. Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has overtaken 2020 rival Joe Biden in Iowa to snatch the lead in a Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll of preferred Democratic presidential candidates published Saturday night.

Why it matters: Per the Des Moines Register, this is the first time Warren has led in the state's poll. It's the latest in a series of surges in the polls for the Massachusetts senator. She's also been drawing big crowds in recent weeks.

Go deeperArrowSep 22, 2019