Elizabeth Warren speaks during a rally in Washington Square Park in New York City, Sept. 16. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

2020 candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren has surged 6% since July in a new WSJ/NBC poll of 506 Democratic primary voters, breaking out from the rest of the field to secure her spot in 2nd place (25%) behind former Vice President Joe Biden (31%).

The big picture: Despite polling behind Biden in the overall horserace, Warren led the pack when voters were asked which candidates they feel "enthusiastic" about. The poll shows her enthusiasm figures have grown from 20% in March to 35% in September, while Biden has dropped from 33% to 23%. On Monday night, Warren drew her largest campaign rally crowd of the 2020 cycle when over 20,000 people came out to New York City's Washington Square Park.

Overall polling, per WSJ/NBC:

  • Joe Biden: 31% (+5%)
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren: 25% (+6%)
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders: 14% (+1%)
  • Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 7% (0%)
  • Sen. Kamala Harris: 5% (-8%)
  • Entrepreneur Andrew Yang: 4% (+2%)
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar: 2% (+1%)
  • Sen. Cory Booker: 2% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke: 1% (-1%)
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: 1% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. John Delaney: 1% (0%)
  • Billionaire Tom Steyer: 1% (N/A)
  • Sen. Michael Bennet: 1% (0%)
  • Mayor Bill de Blasio: 1% (+1%)
  • Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro: 1% (0%)

Methodology: The NBC/WSJ poll of 506 Democratic primary voters was conducted Sept. 13–16 — including more than half who were reached by cellphone — and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Go deeper: What you need to know about the 2020 candidates, in under 500 words

Go deeper

Updated 1 hour ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Politics: Obama: Trump is "jealous of COVID's media coverage."
  2. Health: Mask mandates help control the rise in coronavirus hospitalizations. Hospitals face a crush.
  3. Business: Coronavirus testing is a windfall. Winter threat spurs new surge of startup activity.
  4. Media: Pandemic causes TV providers to lose the most subscribers ever.
  5. World: Putin mandates face masks.

The GOP's monstrous math problem

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Republicans, win or lose next week, face a big — and growing — math problem.

The state of play: They're relying almost exclusively on a shrinking demographic (white men), living in shrinking areas (small, rural towns), creating a reliance on people with shrinking incomes (white workers without college degrees) to survive.

Right-wing misinformation machine could gain steam post-election

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

With less than a week until the 2020 election, researchers have expressed concern that the information ecosystem today is ripe for an unprecedented level of exploitation by bad actors, particularly hyper-partisan media and personalities on the right.

Why it matters: The misinformation-powered right-wing media machine that fueled Donald Trump's 2016 victory grew stronger after that win, and it's set to increase its reach as a result of the upcoming election, whether Trump wins or loses.