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Elizabeth Warren speaks during a rally in Washington Square Park in New York City, Sept. 16. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

2020 candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren has surged 6% since July in a new WSJ/NBC poll of 506 Democratic primary voters, breaking out from the rest of the field to secure her spot in 2nd place (25%) behind former Vice President Joe Biden (31%).

The big picture: Despite polling behind Biden in the overall horserace, Warren led the pack when voters were asked which candidates they feel "enthusiastic" about. The poll shows her enthusiasm figures have grown from 20% in March to 35% in September, while Biden has dropped from 33% to 23%. On Monday night, Warren drew her largest campaign rally crowd of the 2020 cycle when over 20,000 people came out to New York City's Washington Square Park.

Overall polling, per WSJ/NBC:

  • Joe Biden: 31% (+5%)
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren: 25% (+6%)
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders: 14% (+1%)
  • Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 7% (0%)
  • Sen. Kamala Harris: 5% (-8%)
  • Entrepreneur Andrew Yang: 4% (+2%)
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar: 2% (+1%)
  • Sen. Cory Booker: 2% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke: 1% (-1%)
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: 1% (+1%)
  • Former Rep. John Delaney: 1% (0%)
  • Billionaire Tom Steyer: 1% (N/A)
  • Sen. Michael Bennet: 1% (0%)
  • Mayor Bill de Blasio: 1% (+1%)
  • Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro: 1% (0%)

Methodology: The NBC/WSJ poll of 506 Democratic primary voters was conducted Sept. 13–16 — including more than half who were reached by cellphone — and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Go deeper: What you need to know about the 2020 candidates, in under 500 words

Go deeper

Senate confirms retired Gen. Lloyd Austin as defense secretary

Photo: Greg Nash-Pool/Getty Images

The Senate voted 93-2 on Friday to confirm retired Gen. Lloyd Austin as secretary of defense. Sens. Mike Lee (R-Utah) and Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) were the sole "no" votes.

Why it matters: Austin is the first Black American to lead the Pentagon and President Biden's second Cabinet nominee to be confirmed.

House will transmit article of impeachment to Senate on Monday, Schumer says

Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced that the House will deliver the article of impeachment against former President Trump for "incitement of insurrection" on Monday.

Why it matters: The Senate is required to begin the impeachment trial at 1 p.m. the day after the article is transmitted.

Dan Primack, author of Pro Rata
2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Private equity bets on delayed tax reform in Biden administration

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

In normal times, private equity would be nervous about Democratic Party control of both the White House and Congress. But in pandemic-consumed 2021, the industry seems sanguine.

Driving the news: Industry executives and lobbyists paid very close attention to Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen's confirmation hearings this week, and came away convinced that tax reform isn't on the near-term agenda.