Sep 12, 2019

Warren is the only winner in polls after previous Democratic debates

Data: RealClearPolitics; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios

The Democratic presidential candidates will face off on the debate stage again Thursday night, but the reality is that Elizabeth Warren is the only candidate who has gained any real momentum since the first debate, based on polls during the last three months.

The big picture: Post-debate polling spikes have proven to be sugar rushes. After jumping from 7% to 15% after the first debate, Kamala Harris is back down to 7%, while Julián Castro's cameo above 1% after that debate was also short-lived. Warren's ascent from 9% to 19%, meanwhile, has been gradual and steady.

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Early debate ratings show high interest in the Democratic primaries

Democratic presidential hopefuls on the debate stage on Sept. 12, in Houston. Photo: Robyn Back/AFP/Getty Images

Early and unofficial Nielsen ratings on Thursday night's Democratic presidential primary debate well exceeded 10 million viewers, far above other programs on TV that night, CNN reports.

Why it matters: Though the official numbers are set to release Friday afternoon, the preliminary numbers show that interest in the primary process is higher than past primaries.

Go deeperArrowSep 13, 2019

All the qualifiers for November's Democratic debate

Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

The November Democratic primary debates, hosted by MSNBC and the Washington Post, are scheduled to take place in Georgia on Nov. 20. Ten presidential candidates qualified to appear on stage, leaving former HUD Secretary Julián Castro as the notable exception.

How it works: Each candidate needed to hit 3% in at least four accepted polls to qualify, or 5% in two single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada. Candidate were also required to attract 165,000 unique donors and a minimum of 600 unique donors per state in at least 20 states.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Nov 6, 2019

The missed health care opportunities in the 3rd Democratic debate

Sen. Bernie Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

The back-to-back ads taking opposing sides of the surprise billing debate that ran before the 2020 Democratic candidates' closing debate statements in the D.C. market provided the perfect juxtaposition between the very real fight happening in Washington and the 30-second elevator pitches being given on the debate stage.

Yes, but: There wasn't any health care news made last night, despite its prominence as a 2020 campaign issue.

Go deeperArrowSep 13, 2019