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People participating in a climate change strike in New York City on Sept. 24. Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Children today will likely live through more weather and climate disasters than their grandparents if the planet continues to warm at its current pace, a study published in the journal Science this week estimates.

Why it matters: The study quantifies what is already widely known: extreme weather and climate events will become more common and severe as the planet warms primarily from human influences, like increased greenhouse gas emissions.

How it works: The researchers drew from current international climate policy pledges and climate and demographic models to project how many extreme weather and climate events children today will witness throughout their lifetimes compared to those experienced by previous generations.

  • The researchers estimate that a child who was 6 years old in 2020 will see twice as many wildfires and tropical cyclones, around three times more river floods, two-and-a-half times more crop failures, five times as many droughts and 36 times more heatwaves than a person born in 1960.

What they're saying: "Our results highlight a severe threat to the safety of young generations and call for drastic emission reductions to safeguard their future," the researchers wrote.

The big picture: A large UN-sponsored review of climate science published last month determined that the planet will pass a crucial temperature threshold as early as 2030 — far sooner than previously thought.

  • The studies come as world leaders prepare to meet in Glasgow, Scotland, for a UN climate meeting, which is considered pivotal for ensuring that the temperature targets set in the Paris Climate Agreement still have a chance of being met, Axios' Andrew Freedman reports.

Go deeper: WHO revises air quality guidelines to reduce deaths from pollution

Go deeper

Ben Geman, author of Generate
Oct 19, 2021 - Politics & Policy

Biden's carbon emissions-cutting pledge faces tough climb

Image from the Rhodium Group study "Pathways to Paris." Courtesy of the Rhodium Group.

The verdict is in: President Biden's U.S. emissions-cutting pledge isn't a fantasy, but the path to meeting it is very difficult and relies on forces outside of White House control.

Driving the news: The Rhodium Group just released an analysis of policy combinations that could close the gap between the current U.S. trajectory and Biden's vow under the Paris Agreement to cut emissions in half by 2030.

2 hours ago - Health

FDA authorizes mix-and-match for COVID booster shots

Photo: Francine Orr/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

The Food and Drugs Administration (FDA) on Wednesday gave its approval for Americans to get booster shots that are different from the COVID vaccine they initially received.

Why it matters: The recommendation from the FDA, which also authorized booster shots for people who received Moderna and Johnson & Johnson vaccines on Wednesday, paves the way for an expansion of booster shots.

GOP congressman forfeits committee seats after indictment

Rep. Jeff Fortenberry. Photo: Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-Neb.) on Wednesday stepped down from his committee assignments after being indicted for lying to federal investigators amid a probe into illegal campaign donations.

What they're saying: In a letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Fortenberry said he is "grateful for the outpouring of support from my friends and colleagues as we work against the injustice confronting me."