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Photo: Samuel Corum/Getty Images

So far, 28 of the 31 moderate Democrats who represent districts that President Trump won in 2016 have announced they will back Trump's impeachment on Wednesday, despite fears that their votes could put their seats at risk in 2020.

The big picture: Democratic members and committee staffers told Axios' Alayna Treene they expect four to six moderate Democrats to break ranks and vote against the articles.

Democrats from Trump districts supporting at least one article of impeachment:

  1. Tom O'Halleran, Ariz. 1st (Partisan Voter Index, via Cook Political Report: R+2)
  2. Lucy McBath, Ga. 6th (R+8)
  3. Cheri Bustos, Ill. 17th (D+3)
  4. Lauren Underwood, Ill. 14th (R+5)
  5. Cindy Axne, Iowa 3rd (R+1)
  6. Abby Finkenauer, Iowa 1st (D+1)
  7. Dave Loebsack, Iowa 2nd (D+1)
  8. Jared Golden, Maine 2nd (R+2)
  9. Elissa Slotkin, Mich. 8th (R+4)
  10. Haley Stevens, Mich. 11th (R+4)
  11. Angie Craig, Minn. 2nd (R+2)
  12. Susie Lee, Nev. 3rd (R+2)
  13. Chris Pappas, N.H. 1st (R+2)
  14. Josh Gottheimer, N.J. 5th (R+3)
  15. Andy Kim, N.J. 3rd (R+2)
  16. Mikie Sherrill, N.J. 11th (R+3)
  17. Xochitl Torres Small, N.M. 2nd (R+6)
  18. Anthony Brindisi, N.Y. 22nd (R+6)
  19. Antonio Delgado, N.Y. 19th (R+2)
  20. Sean Patrick Maloney, N.Y. 18th (R+1)
  21. Max Rose, N.Y. 11th (R+3)
  22. Kendra Horn, Okla. 5th (R+10)
  23. Matt Cartwright, Pa. 8th (R+1)
  24. Conor Lamb, Pa. 17th (R+3)
  25. Joe Cunningham, S.C. 1st (R+10)
  26. Ben McAdams, Utah 4th (R+13)
  27. Elaine Luria, Va. 2nd (R+3)
  28. Abigail Spanberger, Va. 7th (R+6)

Undecided Democrats representing Trump districts:

  1. Ron Kind, Wis. 3rd (Even)

Of note: Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine), who represents a district Trump won by 2 points in 2016, will vote on the article of impeachment for abuse of power, but not the article for obstruction of Congress, according to Bangor Daily News.

The other side: A White House official told Axios' Jonathan Swan that New Jersey Rep. Jefferson Van Drew, who plans to oppose the articles of impeachment, will leave the Democratic Party to become a Republican. Van Drew has long opposed impeachment, and Trump won his district in 2016 by nearly 5 points.

  • As a conservative Democrat, Minnesota's 7th District Rep. Collin Peterson said he will not vote for the articles unless new information convinces him otherwise. Peterson also said he's been approached to join the Republican Party, but plans to remain a Democrat, according to Newsweek.

Go deeper:

Editor's note: This post has been corrected to reflect the fact that Antonio Delgado represents New York's 19th district (not the 17th).

Go deeper

Updated 40 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Inauguration Day dashboard

Screenshot: Fox News

President Trump has delivered a farewell speech and departed Washington for the last time on Air Force One, kicking off the day that will culminate with President-elect Joe Biden taking office.

What's next: The inaugural celebration for young Americans is being livestreamed, starting at 10am.

Updated 56 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Trump departs on final Air Force One flight

President Trump and his family took off on Air Force One at 9 a.m. on Wednesday morning for the final time en route to Florida.

The big picture: Trump's final hours as president were punctuated by his decisions to snub his successor's inauguration and grant pardons to many of his allies who have been swept up in corruption scandals.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
2 hours ago - Economy & Business

Janet Yellen said all the right things to reassure the markets

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Treasury Secretary nominee and former Fed chair Janet Yellen's confirmation hearing before the Senate Finance Committee on Tuesday showed markets just what they can expect from the administration of President-elect Joe Biden: more of what they got under President Trump — at least for now.

What it means: Investors and big companies reaped the benefits of ultralow U.S. interest rates and low taxes for most of Trump's term as well as significant increases in government spending, even before the coronavirus pandemic.

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