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Photo: Samuel Corum/Getty Images

So far, 28 of the 31 moderate Democrats who represent districts that President Trump won in 2016 have announced they will back Trump's impeachment on Wednesday, despite fears that their votes could put their seats at risk in 2020.

The big picture: Democratic members and committee staffers told Axios' Alayna Treene they expect four to six moderate Democrats to break ranks and vote against the articles.

Democrats from Trump districts supporting at least one article of impeachment:

  1. Tom O'Halleran, Ariz. 1st (Partisan Voter Index, via Cook Political Report: R+2)
  2. Lucy McBath, Ga. 6th (R+8)
  3. Cheri Bustos, Ill. 17th (D+3)
  4. Lauren Underwood, Ill. 14th (R+5)
  5. Cindy Axne, Iowa 3rd (R+1)
  6. Abby Finkenauer, Iowa 1st (D+1)
  7. Dave Loebsack, Iowa 2nd (D+1)
  8. Jared Golden, Maine 2nd (R+2)
  9. Elissa Slotkin, Mich. 8th (R+4)
  10. Haley Stevens, Mich. 11th (R+4)
  11. Angie Craig, Minn. 2nd (R+2)
  12. Susie Lee, Nev. 3rd (R+2)
  13. Chris Pappas, N.H. 1st (R+2)
  14. Josh Gottheimer, N.J. 5th (R+3)
  15. Andy Kim, N.J. 3rd (R+2)
  16. Mikie Sherrill, N.J. 11th (R+3)
  17. Xochitl Torres Small, N.M. 2nd (R+6)
  18. Anthony Brindisi, N.Y. 22nd (R+6)
  19. Antonio Delgado, N.Y. 19th (R+2)
  20. Sean Patrick Maloney, N.Y. 18th (R+1)
  21. Max Rose, N.Y. 11th (R+3)
  22. Kendra Horn, Okla. 5th (R+10)
  23. Matt Cartwright, Pa. 8th (R+1)
  24. Conor Lamb, Pa. 17th (R+3)
  25. Joe Cunningham, S.C. 1st (R+10)
  26. Ben McAdams, Utah 4th (R+13)
  27. Elaine Luria, Va. 2nd (R+3)
  28. Abigail Spanberger, Va. 7th (R+6)

Undecided Democrats representing Trump districts:

  1. Ron Kind, Wis. 3rd (Even)

Of note: Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine), who represents a district Trump won by 2 points in 2016, will vote on the article of impeachment for abuse of power, but not the article for obstruction of Congress, according to Bangor Daily News.

The other side: A White House official told Axios' Jonathan Swan that New Jersey Rep. Jefferson Van Drew, who plans to oppose the articles of impeachment, will leave the Democratic Party to become a Republican. Van Drew has long opposed impeachment, and Trump won his district in 2016 by nearly 5 points.

  • As a conservative Democrat, Minnesota's 7th District Rep. Collin Peterson said he will not vote for the articles unless new information convinces him otherwise. Peterson also said he's been approached to join the Republican Party, but plans to remain a Democrat, according to Newsweek.

Go deeper:

Editor's note: This post has been corrected to reflect the fact that Antonio Delgado represents New York's 19th district (not the 17th).

Go deeper

27 mins ago - World

Canadian Indigenous group finds 93 suspected unmarked graves

A makeshift memorial honoring the 215 children whose remains were found in a mass grave in Brantford, Ontario, Canada, last May. Photo: Cole Burston/AFP via Getty Images

Indigenous leaders in Canada's western province of British Columbia said Tuesday they believe they've found 93 unmarked graves near a former boarding school.

The big picture: Hundreds of mass graves have been found at the grounds of former residential schools for Indigenous children since last May, when the remains of 215 children were uncovered at one such site in B.C.

3 hours ago - World

Coast Guard searches for 39 people after boat capsizes off Florida coast

A U.S. Coast Guard ship leaving its base in Miami Beach, Florida, in July. Photo: AP/Marta Lavandier

U.S. Coast Guard crews were searching into the night for 39 people whose boat sank off Florida's coast over the weekend after traveling from the Bahamas.

The big picture: A "good Samaritan" contacted the Coast Guard about 8 a.m. Tuesday to say they "rescued a man clinging to a capsized vessel" 45 miles east of Fort Pierce, per a tweet from the agency, which noted it was dealing with "a suspected human smuggling venture."

Scoop: Race to lead NRCC kicks off

Reps. Darin LaHood (left) and Richard Hudson. Photos: Al Drago/Getty Images (LaHood) and Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Reps. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) and Darin LaHood (R-Ill.) are both telling colleagues they plan to run for chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee for the 2024 cycle, people familiar with the matter tell Axios.

Why it matters: Republicans are confident they'll win the House majority back this fall, and the early jockeying to lead the caucus' fundraising apparatus is just another indicator of their optimism.

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