Photo: Samuel Corum/Getty Images

So far, 28 of the 31 moderate Democrats who represent districts that President Trump won in 2016 have announced they will back Trump's impeachment on Wednesday, despite fears that their votes could put their seats at risk in 2020.

The big picture: Democratic members and committee staffers told Axios' Alayna Treene they expect four to six moderate Democrats to break ranks and vote against the articles.

Democrats from Trump districts supporting at least one article of impeachment:

  1. Tom O'Halleran, Ariz. 1st (Partisan Voter Index, via Cook Political Report: R+2)
  2. Lucy McBath, Ga. 6th (R+8)
  3. Cheri Bustos, Ill. 17th (D+3)
  4. Lauren Underwood, Ill. 14th (R+5)
  5. Cindy Axne, Iowa 3rd (R+1)
  6. Abby Finkenauer, Iowa 1st (D+1)
  7. Dave Loebsack, Iowa 2nd (D+1)
  8. Jared Golden, Maine 2nd (R+2)
  9. Elissa Slotkin, Mich. 8th (R+4)
  10. Haley Stevens, Mich. 11th (R+4)
  11. Angie Craig, Minn. 2nd (R+2)
  12. Susie Lee, Nev. 3rd (R+2)
  13. Chris Pappas, N.H. 1st (R+2)
  14. Josh Gottheimer, N.J. 5th (R+3)
  15. Andy Kim, N.J. 3rd (R+2)
  16. Mikie Sherrill, N.J. 11th (R+3)
  17. Xochitl Torres Small, N.M. 2nd (R+6)
  18. Anthony Brindisi, N.Y. 22nd (R+6)
  19. Antonio Delgado, N.Y. 19th (R+2)
  20. Sean Patrick Maloney, N.Y. 18th (R+1)
  21. Max Rose, N.Y. 11th (R+3)
  22. Kendra Horn, Okla. 5th (R+10)
  23. Matt Cartwright, Pa. 8th (R+1)
  24. Conor Lamb, Pa. 17th (R+3)
  25. Joe Cunningham, S.C. 1st (R+10)
  26. Ben McAdams, Utah 4th (R+13)
  27. Elaine Luria, Va. 2nd (R+3)
  28. Abigail Spanberger, Va. 7th (R+6)

Undecided Democrats representing Trump districts:

  1. Ron Kind, Wis. 3rd (Even)

Of note: Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine), who represents a district Trump won by 2 points in 2016, will vote on the article of impeachment for abuse of power, but not the article for obstruction of Congress, according to Bangor Daily News.

The other side: A White House official told Axios' Jonathan Swan that New Jersey Rep. Jefferson Van Drew, who plans to oppose the articles of impeachment, will leave the Democratic Party to become a Republican. Van Drew has long opposed impeachment, and Trump won his district in 2016 by nearly 5 points.

  • As a conservative Democrat, Minnesota's 7th District Rep. Collin Peterson said he will not vote for the articles unless new information convinces him otherwise. Peterson also said he's been approached to join the Republican Party, but plans to remain a Democrat, according to Newsweek.

Go deeper:

Editor's note: This post has been corrected to reflect the fact that Antonio Delgado represents New York's 19th district (not the 17th).

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Scoop: Lawmakers tee up hearing with academics ahead of antitrust report

Big Tech CEOs testify before the House Judiciary antitrust panel in June. Photo: Mandel Ngan/Pool/AFP via Getty Images.

Mostly academics will be testifying at Thursday's House Judiciary antitrust subcommittee hearing, which will reveal where its year-long investigation into big tech and competition is going, a source familiar with the matter told Axios.

Why it matters: The hearing is the next step following testimony from Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg, Google's Sundar Pichai, Amazon's Jeff Bezos and Apple's Tim Cook before the committee in July. A showing of academics and think-tank types signals the lawmakers are still sorting out competition theories and possible legislative fixes to perceived antitrust abuses.

Biden releases 2019 tax returns ahead of debate

Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Joe Biden's campaign released his 2019 tax returns on Tuesday, showing that he and his wife, Jill, paid nearly $300,000 in federal taxes last year.

Why it matters: The release, timed just hours before the first presidential debate, comes days after a bombshell New York Times report said that President Trump paid only $750 in federal taxes in 2016 and 2017. Biden's team is hoping to make the tax contrast a sticking point during their showdown.

Updated 2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 2:15 p.m. ET: 33,454,037 — Total deaths: 1,003,571 — Total recoveries: 23,204,219Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 2:15 p.m. ET: 7,165,067 — Total deaths: 205,476 — Total recoveries: 2,794,608 — Total tests: 102,342,416Map.
  3. Health: Americans won't take Trump's word on the vaccine, Axios-Ipsos poll finds.
  4. States: NYC's coronavirus positivity rate spikes to highest since June.
  5. Sports: Tennessee Titans close facility amid NFL's first coronavirus outbreak.
  6. World: U.K. beats previous record for new coronavirus cases.

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