2026 hurricane season may see "somewhat below-normal" storm activity

🔍 Zoom in: Researchers from Colorado State University say the return of El Niño will be the dominant factor for the forthcoming season.

• El Niño occurs when water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean become warmer than usual. A catalyst for global weather shifts, it drives high-altitude winds over the Atlantic that can hinder hurricane formation.
• The climate pattern is expected to develop in the next few months.

Yes, but: We're not out of the woods yet. Forecasters made similar predictions in 2023 based on El Niño conditions, but the season defied expectations with above-normal activity.

• The forecast is intended to provide a "best estimate of activity in the Atlantic during the upcoming season, not an exact measure," according to a Colorado State news release.

⏪ Flashback: Last year, the Colorado State forecast predicted above-normal activity that did not materialize.

What they're saying: "As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season," the release reads.

• "Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity."

What's next: The Colorado State team will issue forecast updates on June 10, July 8 and Aug. 5.

• Hurricane season starts June 1.