2025 hurricane season may see "above-normal" storm activity, forecasters say

• Before last year's prediction of 11 hurricanes, the previous high in an April outlook called for nine hurricanes, first made in 1995.
• Unusually warm waters in the Atlantic, along with the likely absence of El Niño — typically a hurricane suppressant — are driving expectations for the season.

The big picture: Tampa Bay is still recovering from hurricanes Helene and Milton, which flooded streets, damaged homes and claimed lives. This year's hurricane forecast isn't exactly promising.

• Researchers forecast a busier season than the 1991–2020 average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes — those with sustained winds of 111 mph or higher.
• The forecast is intended to provide a "best estimate of activity in the Atlantic during the upcoming season, not an exact measure," according to a CSU news release.

Yes but: Last year, the CSU forecast of 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes proved accurate.

What they're saying: "As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season," the release reads.

• "Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity."

What's next: The CSU team will issue forecast updates on June 11, July 9 and Aug. 6.

• Hurricane season starts June 1.