Oct 24, 2023 - News

Get ready for a warm, wet El Niño winter in Philly

Winter 2023-24 temperature outlook
Data: NOAA; Map: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals

This winter is likely to be soggier than average in the Philadelphia metro.

Why it matters: Snow lovers could be disappointed for a second consecutive year.

Driving the news: Pennsylvania has a heightened chance of seeing 40%-45% warmer-than-average temperatures this winter, per a new NOAA seasonal outlook.

  • Plus: Odds are that precipitation will be 33% higher than average.

Of note: NOAA's forecasts are from December through February.

The big picture: El Niño, which is currently rated as strong and forecast to intensify further, typically has its greatest effects on weather patterns across North America during the winter months.

Flashback: Snow was scarce last year.

The intrigue: Don't count out snow just yet.

❄️ Be smart: Philadelphia's average winter snowfall is 23 inches.

What they're saying: NOAA meteorologist Amanda Lee tells Axios that El Niño winters don't necessarily translate to more or less snow in the region, so anything could happen.

Editor's note: This story was corrected to note that Philadelphia received 0.3 inches of snow last year, not 3 inches.

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