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The impeachment whip list

Graphic: Andrew Witherspoon, Lazaro Gamio/Axios

75 House Democrats and one House Republican now publicly support launching an impeachment inquiry against President Trump, according to an Axios analysis.

Why it matters: The whip count surged in the aftermath of Robert Mueller's statement last week, and again after Trump told ABC News that he would consider accepting intelligence on opponents from foreign nationals. But even still, pro-impeachment Democrats still only amount to slightly over a quarter of the 235-member caucus.

  • That figure is likely to stay well below the threshold necessary to launch impeachment in the House until the moment — if it ever comes — that Speaker Nancy Pelosi gives her blessing.

By the numbers:

  • 15 of the 24 Democrats on the House Judiciary Committee publicly support an impeachment inquiry. 21 are needed to refer an impeachment resolution to the House floor.
  • Of the 8 Democrats that Axios identified as "influential" — the 3 top members of leadership and 5 committee chairs investigating Trump — only one publicly supports impeachment: Financial Services Chair Maxine Waters. Judiciary Committee Chair Jerrold Nadler has reportedly pushed privately to open an impeachment inquiry.
  • 4 of the 53 Democrats running in "swing districts" in 2020 — according to Cook Political Report — have come out in favor of an impeachment inquiry: Reps. Tom Malinowski (N.J.), Katie Porter (Calif)., Sean Casten (Ill.) and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (Fla.).

The big picture: Pelosi has long wagered that impeachment would be fruitless without overwhelming public support, and right now, the public isn't there. 41% of the public supported impeachment as of May 31, down significantly from an all-time high of 47% in September 2018, according to a CNN poll.

  • That doesn't account for the conventional wisdom that a Republican-controlled Senate would never vote to convict Trump and remove him from office even if the House impeached him.

The bottom line: Many of the Democrats who publicly support impeachment are the same ones that are already known for being outspoken critics of the president. That masks the reality that 75% of the caucus, including its leader, remains opposed.

Editor's note: The graphic has been updated to clarify that the list includes both House members who have called for impeachment and those who support launching an inquiry.