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The US Citizenship and Immigration Services welcomes 200 new citizens from 50 countries during a ceremony in honor of Independence Day. Photo: Bryan R. Smith/AFP

Vox's editor-at-large Ezra Klein took a deep dive today into America's shifting demographics to examine the Obama to Trump transition and understand "what happens... when a majority feels its dominance beginning to fail."

The big picture: In 2013, a majority of infants in the U.S. were nonwhite, the first time in the nation's history.

  • That comes ahead of immigration overtaking births as the driver of population growth (anticipated 2030) and a majority-minority status in the nation (2045).
  • While all minority populations are expected to expand, non-Hispanic whites will shrink in number: 199 million in 2020, 179 million in 2060.

Between the lines:

  1. The most common (not average) age for white Americans in 58, while it is 29 for Asians, 27 for African Americans and 11 for Hispanics, economist Jed Kolko tweeted in June.
  2. Americans are feeling these changes, even before they hit. The Center for American Progress, PolicyLink and the Rockefeller Foundation found that "the median participant believed the country was 49 percent nonwhite; the correct answer was 37 percent."
  3. When metro riders are surrounded by Spanish speakers, their attitudes on immigration "moved sharply rightward" after three days, according to a study by Harvard political scientist Ryan Enos.
  4. "Even gentle, unconscious exposure to reminders that America is diversifying... pushes whites toward more conservative policy opinions and more support of the Republican Party," Klein writes.

As Klein points out, "Demographers can and do disagree over whether these projections will hold. Perhaps Hispanic whites will begin identifying simply as whites in the coming years, much as the Irish became white in the 20th century. Race is what we make of it, and what we make of it shifts and mutates."

  • Further, "The experience of losing status — and being told that loss of status is part of society’s march to justice — is itself radicalizing."

Go deeper:

Go deeper

Venezuela suspends talks with opposition after Maduro ally extradited to U.S.

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, Venezuela, in June. Photo: Gaby Oraa/Bloomberg via Getty Images

A key ally of Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro was extradited from Cape Verde to the U.S. Saturday to face money laundering charges in Florida, Bloomberg first reported.

Why it matters: Venezuela's government called off negotiations with opposition officials that were scheduled for Sunday in Mexico in response to the extradition of Alex Saab, a Colombian businessman and financial fixer for Maduro, Reuters notes.

3 hours ago - Health

5 times as many police officers have died from COVID as from guns since pandemic began

Photo: Genaro Molina / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

COVID-19 is the leading cause of death for police officers even though members of law enforcement were among the first to be eligible to receive the vaccine, CNN reports, citing data from the Officer Down Memorial Page.

Why it matters: Nearly 476 police officers have died of COVID-19 since the pandemic started, compared to the 93 deaths as a result of gunfire in the same time period, according to ODMP and CNN.

Virginia energy giant quietly boosts McAuliffe

Former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe speaks during a campaign rally on Oct. 15 in Henrico, Virginia. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Virginia Democrat Terry McAuliffe has sworn off money from the Richmond company Dominion Energy. But the utility has found more subtle ways to back McAuliffe's gubernatorial bid, records show.

Driving the news: Dominion's political action committee has donated $200,000 to a murky political group called Accountability Virginia PAC, a group with ties to prominent Democrats that's been running ads attacking Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin from the right.