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Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

5 big things

1.Why an AI productivity boom could justify higher interest rates

  • Neil Irwin
Rubio announces new Cuba sanctions
2.Rubio announces new Cuba sanctions
How Elon grew to love Anthropic
3.How Elon grew to love Anthropic
Gas prices won't return to pre-war levels any time soon
4.Gas prices won't return to pre-war levels any time soon
Bumble CEO reveals it's killing off the swipe on "The Axios Show"
5.Bumble CEO reveals it's killing off the swipe on "The Axios Show"
    • Avery Lotz
    1 hour ago
    -
    Health
    Why the hantavirus outbreak is different from the COVID-19 pandemic
    A cruise ship, the MV Hondius, can be seen floating in the ocean in this aerial shot.

    The cruise ship MV Hondius stationary off the port of Praia, the capital of Cape Verde, on May 4. Photo: AFP via Getty Images

    The outbreak of a deadly virus aboard a cruise ship may sound like a familiar story — but while it's a serious scenario, public health figures aren't anticipating the next global pandemic.

    The big picture: The hantavirus has left travelers isolating in their rooms, sparked a diplomatic debate about where the ship should port and launched a contact-tracing scramble.

    Go deeper (2 min. read)
    • Brittany Gibson
    2 hours ago
    -
    Politics & Policy
    ICE targets Plan B after backlash to mega-jails plan
    The outside of GEO Group Adelanto ICE Processing Center detention facility in Adelanto, California on July 11, 2025.

    GEO Group Adelanto ICE Processing Center detention facility in Adelanto, California on July 11, 2025. Photo by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP

    ICE is in talks to buy turnkey immigration detention facilities from its biggest vendors as local backlash derails its plan to rapidly renovate warehouses into large-scale detention spaces .

    Why it matters: The Department of Homeland Security wants to own its detention spaces, a pivot from the mostly leased network of beds that held a peak a population of more than 70,000 detainees earlier this year.

    Go deeper (1 min. read)
    • Jim VandeHei,
    • Mike Allen
    10 hours ago
    -
    Technology
    Column / Behind the Curtain
    Behind the Curtain: Intelligence explosion
    Illustration of the Claude AI logo reflected on a pair of safety goggles.

    Illustration: Lindsey Bailey/Axios

    Anthropic, the AI lab whose identity is wrapped around warning the world about AI risk, is claiming "early signs" of AI not just coding its own products but building itself.

    Why it matters: Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark predicted this week that there's a 60%+ chance of an AI model fully training its successor by the end of 2028. "What I'm looking at is a technological trend where, if anything, the speed will accelerate further," Clark told us.

    In the new research agenda for The Anthropic Institute — first shared with us, and out Thursday — the company says it's seeing signs of "AI contributing to speeding up the research and development of AI itself," a process known as recursive self-improvement. And Anthropic researchers think the world should know.

    Go deeper (3 min. read)

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