How SCOTUS deepened TPS uncertainty

• Established in 1990, TPS protects nationals of designated countries fleeing extraordinary circumstances.
• "The ripple effects of this are going to be really big" and "really impactful for not only the TPS holders themselves, but for everyone in their communities," says Esther Sung, the Justice Action Center's legal director.

State of play: The Trump administration has moved to end TPS for nationals of more than a dozen countries, complicating legal challenges after the high court's decision.

• At the start of President Trump's term, per the American Immigration Council, around 1.3 million people had TPS. Since then, hundreds of thousands have lost TPS protections.

What they're saying: DHS pointed Axios to government webpages on TPS, said recipients without another lawful immigration status will be subject to deportation "once TPS ends," and urged them to use the administration's self-deportation app.

• "If people want to come to our country to work, they need to do that by coming here the legal way," a DHS spokesperson said Tuesday, rejecting the argument that ending TPS would hurt industries including health care, construction, logistics and restaurants.
• USCIS spokesperson Zach Kahler said DHS was "upholding the rule of law" and argued the Biden administration improperly used TPS to extend protections beyond the program's intended scope.

Yes, but: The revocations are "absolutely without precedent, by huge orders of magnitude of any sort of revocation of status in the modern immigration system," says FWD.us president Todd Schulte.

• Advocates warn the terminations could deliver an economic blow. Roughly 80% of TPS holders participated in the labor market, per a 2025 Penn study.
• "I think people are going to really want to know why it is that the person who was their kid's teacher, the person who was a parent in their kids' classroom, left or got taken — or the healthcare worker, or the construction worker, the accountant," Schulte says.

What we're watching: TPS designations for nationals of other countries are also moving toward possible expiration.

• That includes protections for some 170,000 Salvadorans, valid through Sept. 9 but potentially ending after over two decades.
• "I don't have high hopes for TPS for any of the designated countries under this administration," Sung says.

Zoom out: Litigation over TPS terminations in Burma, Ethiopia, South Sudan and Somalia is ongoing, with challengers regrouping following SCOTUS' decision.

• Last week, U.S. District Judge Brian Murphy temporarily delayed the termination of protections for Ethiopians, a move DHS general counsel, James Percival, framed as "mutiny against the Supreme Court."
• But American Immigration Council senior fellow Dara Lind tells Axios: "The TPS challenges that are still working their way through the courts, even potentially future TPS terminations ... are going to have to meet a standard that the previous lawsuits haven't."

Zoom in: "TPS recipients are survivors," says Chris Newman, legal director for the National Day Laborer Organizing Network. He says recipients are sharing information and support on WhatsApp, Signal, and in Facebook and Instagram groups.

• The consequences of stripping their status will be "calamitous," he warns — but he predicts it will galvanize public support.
• "What you're going to see now, I think, are tons of mixed-status families, children with citizenship, employers, principals, pastors, full-scale revolting against this move," Newman says.

What's next: Those losing legal status face a reshaped immigration system.

• Sung tells Axios: "This is the story of the Trump administration in immigration: It's trying to close the doors, and then all the windows as well."

Go deeper: Axios Explains: The past and present of Temporary Protected Status

Editor's note: This story has been updated with comment from DHS and USCIS.