Updated Jun 22, 2022 - Politics & Policy

Trump endorsement tracker: Which candidates have won and lost

Note: This data includes only those races in which Axios research determined at least two candidates have a reasonable chance of winning; Data: Axios research; Chart: Jared Whalen/Axios
Note: This data includes only those races in which Axios research determined at least two candidates have a reasonable chance of winning; Data: Axios research; Chart: Jared Whalen/Axios

Georgia is proving to be one of former President Trump's toughest tests as two congressional candidates he supported lost their runoffs on Tuesday.

Why it matters: A string of losses among candidates endorsed by Trump in May has punctured perceptions of his dominance over the GOP for the first time in years, raising questions about the competition he could face in a 2024 Republican presidential primary.

The latest: In Alabama, Trump's candidate prevailed after a battle divided Trump supporters between Rep. Mo Brooks (R), a Trump ally, and Katie Britt, who ultimately won the former president's endorsement — and the contest altogether.

  • Trump initially endorsed Brooks in Alabama's Senate race, and then un-endorsed him, after the representative told a rally to stop disputing the 2020 election results and to "put that behind you."
  • Trump instead endorsed Britt, the former chief of staff to retiring Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.), saying she "is an Incredible Fighter for the people of Alabama."
  • Britt won comfortably over Brooks in Tuesday's runoff.

Between the lines: While Trump's endorsement may have boosted Britt's candidacy, she had momentum going into the runoff and was already considered the favorite, AP reports.

In Georgia, both Trump-backed candidates lost their runoffs — former state Rep. Vernon Jones in the 10th district and Jake Evans in the 6th.

  • Jones, the self-described "Black Donald Trump," lost to trucking executive Mike Collins, who is all but certain to take the office in November, Axios' Emma Hurt reports.
  • Gov. Brian Kemp (R), one of Trump's top targets, took a rare step to endorse Collins last week.
  • In the 6th District, Evans lost to Rich McCormick, an emergency room physician and Marine veteran, who tallied a significant fundraising lead over the Trump-backed candidate.
  • Evans campaigned strongly on Trump’s endorsement, but Trump himself did not lean heavily into the race, Hurt notes.

The big picture: An Axios analysis of Trump's 173 endorsements found his record — while still positive overall — is far weaker when candidates running unopposed or in non-competitive races are filtered out.

  • Seven candidates endorsed by Trump were defeated in GOP primaries last month, including four high-profile challengers in Georgia who were crushed by incumbents.
  • 11 of his candidates in competitive races have lost so far, while 27 have won.
  • Another 19 competitive races are still in progress.

Editor's note: This tracker will be updated throughout the primaries.

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