Dec 15, 2019

Global economic uncertainty eased by U.K. elections, China trade deal

U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Photo: Lindsey Parnaby WPA Pool/Getty Images

Two of the biggest constraints to the world economy — uncertainty about Brexit and the China trade war — were alleviated last week, Bloomberg reports.

Why it matters: With a "phase one" deal between U.S. and China staving off more tariffs and the United Kingdom now on pace to leave the European Union on Jan. 31, the outlook for global growth should be more positive in 2020 after being hampered by widespread uncertainty in 2019.

What they're saying: Ben Emons, managing director for global macro strategy at Medley Global Advisors in New York, told Bloomberg: "The China trade deal and U.K. election result have taken out a major tail risk overhanging markets and companies."

  • "Business confidence should see a large boost that could see a restart of global investment, inventory rebuild and a resurgence of global trade volume."

Yes, but: The New York Times' Peter Goodman writes in a new analysis that the Conservative victory in Britain has dealt another blow to globalism, paving the way for a new era of trade dominated by nationalism.

  • "The decisive Conservative victory in Britain leaves no doubt that in today’s global equation, national interests are supreme and globalization is suspect."
  • "[A] new era is underway in which national interests take primacy over collective concerns, with trading arrangements negotiated among individual countries."

Go deeper:

Go deeper

China to cut import tariffs on 850 products

A port in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China on Dec. 4. Photo: Wang Chun/VCG via Getty Images

China is lowering import tariffs on more than 850 products, the country's finance ministry said in a statement Sunday night.

Driving the news: Goods to benefit from the Jan. 1 tariffs cuts include medication, tech and frozen pork — which could help China's meat shortages, driven by swine fever swine fever, Bloomberg reports.

Go deeperArrowDec 23, 2019

China suspends additional retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods

A worker at a port in Qingdao, China, 2017. Photo: STR/AFP via Getty Images

China announced Sunday that it is postponing additional tariffs on U.S. automobiles, corn, wheat and other goods that were set to take effect on Dec. 15, Reuters reports.

The big picture: The U.S. and China agreed to a "phase one" trade deal last week in which Washington agreed to delay a tariff hike on $160 billion of Chinese products that was also planned for Dec. 15. In exchange, Beijing agreed to increase imports from the U.S. by at least $200 billion over the next two years, including agricultural goods.

Go deeper:

Keep ReadingArrowDec 15, 2019

Trump says he'll sign "phase one" trade deal with China on Jan. 15

President Trump tweeted Tuesday that he will sign the "phase one" trade deal with China in a ceremony at the White House on Jan. 15.

The intrigue: Trump did not indicate that Chinese President Xi Jinping would be in Washington for the occasion, saying that "high level representatives" would be present instead. Reports earlier this week indicated that Vice Premier Liu He, China's top trade negotiator, would be the one to sign on behalf of China.

Go deeperArrowDec 31, 2019