Nov 3, 2019

Poll: Competitive top tier emerges in Democratic 2020 race

Sen. Bernie Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at the Oct. 15 Democratic Presidential Debate at Otterbein University in Westerville, Ohio. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

A clear top tier is emerging in the 2020 Democratic race — but the likely eventual nominee is far from certain, an ABC News/Washington Post poll published early Sunday shows.

Why it matters: Per the Washington Post, the race is "competitive and fluid less than 100 days before the Iowa caucuses, with a stable trio of leading candidates" — the frontrunner, former Vice President Joe Biden (27%); Sen. Elizabeth Warren (21% ); Sen. Bernie Sanders (19%); and fourth-placed South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9%) breaking away from other single-digit rivals.

  • About half of Democrats polled who support a candidate say they’d consider another one.

Worth noting: Sanders’ health is a concern for a large portion of the of 1,003 Democrats surveyed in the poll several weeks after he had a heart attack. He's vowed to run a "vigorous campaign.

  • "The poll notes that "younger adults, who are among Sanders’ strongest supporters, are most apt to think he’s in good enough health to serve — six in 10 18- to 39-year-olds say so. Just 40 percent of those age 40 and older agree."

Read the full poll:

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The big picture: He's the first choice for 25% of Democratic caucus-goers polled in the latest survey — with a 9-point lead over his closest rival, Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Buttigieg also topped a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday, where he's the favored candidate among 22% of those surveyed.

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The big picture: Since Monmouth's last Iowa poll in August, Buttigieg gained 14 points, surging ahead of the race's group of longtime frontrunners, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.

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