🎣 This is something I have never typed in 14 years of writing a morning newsletter:
Axios CEO Jim VandeHei went fishing Monday, Axios President Roy Schwartz turned off his phone yesterday. Today is my day.
Besides keeping an eye on the nation's tragic, climbing coronavirus totals, state-level trends are also revealing, Axios editor-in-chief Nicholas Johnston writes.
The Trump administration's reopening guidelines specify that in order to start lifting restrictions and reopening businesses, a state needs to report 14-day trends of fewer cases or fewer positive tests (though local officials get some leeway).
This chart compares each state's seven-day average of new cases from Monday and the seven-day average from a week prior, April 27.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
Evidence is mounting that America is steamrolling toward a nightmarish failure to control the coronavirus, Axios Vitals author Caitlin Owens writes.
The Trump administration is in "preliminary discussions" to wind down its coronavirus task force, possibly in early June, Vice President Mike Pence told reporters yesterday.
What we're watching: The U.S. is still seeing around 30,000 new coronavirus cases a day — and that's just the ones that we’re catching, because we're still not testing enough people.
The bottom line: We don’t have a treatment or a vaccine, and we're about to loosen the reins on a virus we still don't fully understand.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
The hundreds of billions of dollars for the Payroll Protection Program were meant to stop the economic bleeding, to buy time while the wound cauterizes.
President Trump signed the $2.2 trillion stimulus, the CARES Act, on March 27.
Why it matters: The federal government has effectively created a "back to normal" deadline for small businesses, even though such decisions are supposed to be made by the states.
The bottom line: The small business loans and individual checks were designed as bridges to reopening. But if they only delayed layoffs and economic pain by a couple of months, then they'll be remembered as bridges to nowhere.
President Trump, who has rarely left the White House grounds in the past two months, hit the road for Phoenix yesterday and wore protective glasses as he toured a Honeywell factory that's making face masks.
How it's playing ...
When many Americans return to the factory or office, their moves will be watched and recorded, the Wall Street Journal's Konrad Putzier and Chip Cutter report (subscription):
A raft of new polls from states with competitive Senate races shows momentum veering away from Republican incumbents, as doubts rise about President Trump's re-election prospects, Axios' Neal Rothschild and Alexi McCammond report.
Polls released Tuesday show Montana Gov. Steve Bullock (D) leading Sen. Steve Daines (R) by seven points (sample size: 738) and North Carolina Democrat Cal Cunningham beating Republican Sen. Thom Tillis by nine points (sample size: 1,362).
Between the lines: Two main factors are bolstering these Democratic candidates, Jessica Taylor of Cook Political Report tells Axios:
Joe Biden is testing a new way of campaigning amid the coronavirus crisis, kicking off "local" virtual events this week in an attempt to recreate traditional campaign stops, Axios' Alexi McCammond reports.
Biden, his wife, Dr. Jill Biden, and the campaign's top surrogates will host virtual events in key battleground states in the coming weeks, starting with Florida and Michigan, a Biden campaign aide tells Axios.
Justice Sonia Sotomayor, after a few moments of silence during Supreme Court arguments by conference call, when she forgot to unmute her microphone for the second day in a row (via N.Y. Times):
⚡ Breaking: Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is resting at Johns Hopkins Hospital in Baltimore following non-surgical treatment for a gallbladder condition.
May 8 and 9 (this Friday and Saturday) mark the 75th anniversary of the end of World War II in Europe.
FLASH: ALLIES OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCED GERMANS SURRENDERED UNCONDITIONALLY. ...
REIMS, France: Germany surrendered unconditionally to the Western Allies and the Soviet Union at 2:41 a.m. French time today. [8:41 p.m. Eastern War Time, Sunday May 6, 1945.]
[Why it matters!] The end of the European warfare, the greatest, bloodiest and costliest war in human history — it has claimed at least 40 million casualties on both sides in killed, wounded and captured — came after five years, eight months and six days of strife that overspread the globe.
'"Becoming," an "intimate documentary" about Michelle Obama by Nadia Hallgren, live today on Netflix, captures the former first lady navigating her post-White House life, interacting with fans and fostering a spirit of positivity, self-belief and hope, AP film writer Jake Coyle reports.
Behind the scenes: The movie was a secret until Netflix announced the upcoming premiere last week. Hallgren, a veteran documentary cinematographer, typically worked with small crews or just by herself.
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