The most MAGA areas in Tampa, St. Pete in 2024
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President-elect Donald Trump at a rally last year in South Florida. Photo: Alon Skuy/Getty Images
If there was any doubt that Tampa Bay is a red region, it was squashed three weeks ago.
Why it matters: Once considered the swingiest region in a swing state, Hillsborough and Pinellas county voters helped deliver a firm Florida victory for President-elect Donald Trump.
By the numbers: Since 2016, Hillsborough has shifted nearly 10 points to the right, despite Democrats maintaining a slight registration advantage. Trump won the county this year by a margin of about 3%.
- The rightward shift was less dramatic in Pinellas — about four points since 2016 — but Trump took a more decisive lead this year, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris by more than 5%.
The big picture: Tampa Bay is in line with the rest of the state. Since 2016, 90% of Florida counties have shifted more Republican.
Zoom in: Tampa Bay's two largest cities bucked the trend and went blue, with some Tampa and St. Petersburg precincts going for Harris by more than 88%.
Yes, but: Even in these liberal havens, many neighborhoods helped carry the president-elect, per an Axios Tampa Bay analysis of precinct-level voting data.
- In Tampa, the Trumpiest precincts were concentrated mostly in South Tampa.
- Precincts by the beaches and in the northeast end of the city went more for Trump in St. Pete.
Below, find the top three precincts in each city that helped drive Trump's victory.
St. Petersburg
Precinct 215: 67% Trump
- Causeway Isles and Yacht Club Estates make up this island precinct between mainland Pinellas and the southern barrier islands.
Precinct 143: 62% Trump
- This precinct includes Venetian Isles and part of Shore Acres.
Precinct 144: 56% Trump
- Patrician Point and the rest of Shore Acres make up this voting group.
Tampa
Precinct 139: 60% Trump
- Located in South Tampa, this precinct includes Swann Estates, Culbreath Isles and Beach Park Isles.
Precinct 103: 59% Trump
- Also on the west side of South Tampa, it includes parts of Gandy/Sun Bay South and Port Tampa.
Precinct 117: 59% Trump
- This precinct is just south of 139 and includes Bel Mar Shores and part of Sunset Park.
