Richmond will probably see snow this winter

There's a good chance that Richmond will see at least one decent snow storm this winter.

Driving the news: Due to El Niño, jet streams, ocean temperatures and other science things, the forecast is shaping up for the region to see snow accumulation — and at least one school-closing-level of snow — for winter 2024, Times-Dispatch meteorologist Sean Sublette writes in his winter outlook.

Why it matters: Richmond saw basically zero snow last year, despite an aggressively frigid Christmas, so we deserve at least one sledding opportunity this season.

Zoom in: Richmond should see 6 to 14 inches of snow this winter, including "one storm that produces more than 4 inches," per Sublette.

• Those accumulation events are most likely to hit sometime around mid-January to mid-February, so plan your gear shopping accordingly.

Worth noting: Richmond's average winter snow accumulation for the past 30 years is 9 inches.

• Yes, but: The area hasn't seen that much snow since 2019, when the average snowfall was 13 inches.