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Expand chart
Data: AP; Note: AP has called Arizona for Biden, but ballots are still being counted and not all organizations have called it yet. Chart: Naema Ahmed, Andrew Witherspoon, Danielle Alberti/Axios

President-elect Joe Biden's projected Georgia win will give him 306 electoral votes over President Trump — virtually matching Trump's margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The latest: Trump has not yet conceded after Biden surpassed the 270 electoral vote threshold needed to capture the presidency. Instead, his legal team, led by Rudy Giuliani, has been spinning baseless conspiracy theories and throwing out evidence-free accusations of fraud.

The big picture: Trump's victories in Florida and Texas, as projected by the Associated Press, ruled out the chance that the presidential race could be resolved quickly.

  • But then the Associated Press declared Biden the winner in Arizona, a crucial pickup that reflects changing demographics and preserves a path for Biden even if Trump holds Pennsylvania.
  • AP projects that Biden has won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district. It's worth one electoral vote, but takes away a district Trump won in 2016 — and keeps open a path by which Biden could lose Pennsylvania and still win the presidency.
  • AP has also declared Biden the winner in Minnesota, California, Washington state, Oregon, New Hampshire, Colorado, New York, the District of Columbia, New Mexico, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Virginia, Vermont, Hawaii and his home state of Delaware. He also won three of Maine's four electoral votes.
  • It has called Ohio, Iowa, Montana, Utah, Idaho, Missouri, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Indiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, West Virginia and Maine's 2nd congressional district for Trump.
Data: AP; Chart: Naema Ahmed, Andrew Witherspoon, Danielle Alberti/Axios

What we're watching: Democrats' hopes of winning control of the Senate faded as they lost a series of high-profile races. It could come down to Georgia, where both Senate races are headed to a runoff — meaning we won't know which party controls the Senate until January.

  • Democrat Mark Kelly unseated Republican Sen. Martha McSally in Arizona, and Democrat John Hickenlooper defeated Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in Colorado, per AP. Democrat Sen. Gary Peters also fended off a tough challenge in Michigan.
  • But Republican Tommy Tuberville unseated Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in Alabama, Republican Sen. Susan Collins was re-elected in Maine, and Republican Sen. Steve Daines was re-elected in Montana after a competitive race with Democratic Gov. Steve Bullock.
  • And Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham held onto his seat, defeating Democrat Jaime Harrison in one of the most closely watched Senate races in the country.

Go deeper

The Mischief Makers

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Several Republican and Democratic lawmakers are emerging as troublemakers within their parties and political thorns for their leadership.

Why it matters: We're calling this group "The Mischief Makers" — members who threaten to upend party unity — the theme eclipsing Washington at the moment — and potentially jeopardize the Democrats' or Republicans' position heading into the 2022 midterms.

2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Republicans’ secret lobbying

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

The five Senate Republicans who helped negotiate and draft the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill have been privately courting their Republican colleagues to pass the measure in the House.

Why it matters: House GOP leaders are actively urging their members to oppose the bill. The senators are working to undercut that effort as Monday shapes up as a do-or-die moment for the bipartisan bill.

CBC members nix border visit

A Haitian migrant carries a toddler on his shoulders today as he crosses the Rio Grande River. Photo: Pedro Pardo/AFP via Getty Images

Several members of the Congressional Black Caucus weighed visiting the U.S.-Mexico border this week to investigate the conditions faced by Haitian migrants and protest allegations of inhumane treatment by U.S. agents.

Why it matters: It's a thorny proposition both in terms of timing and messaging. Going assures a new wave of negative headlines for President Biden amid sinking popularity. And with congressional deadlines in the coming days over infrastructure, a possible government shutdown and debt-limit crisis, Democrats can't afford to lose any votes in the House.

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