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Expand chart
Data: AP; Note: AP has called Arizona for Biden, but ballots are still being counted and not all organizations have called it yet. Chart: Naema Ahmed, Andrew Witherspoon, Danielle Alberti/Axios

President-elect Joe Biden's projected Georgia win will give him 306 electoral votes over President Trump — virtually matching Trump's margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The latest: Trump has not yet conceded after Biden surpassed the 270 electoral vote threshold needed to capture the presidency. Instead, his legal team, led by Rudy Giuliani, has been spinning baseless conspiracy theories and throwing out evidence-free accusations of fraud.

The big picture: Trump's victories in Florida and Texas, as projected by the Associated Press, ruled out the chance that the presidential race could be resolved quickly.

  • But then the Associated Press declared Biden the winner in Arizona, a crucial pickup that reflects changing demographics and preserves a path for Biden even if Trump holds Pennsylvania.
  • AP projects that Biden has won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district. It's worth one electoral vote, but takes away a district Trump won in 2016 — and keeps open a path by which Biden could lose Pennsylvania and still win the presidency.
  • AP has also declared Biden the winner in Minnesota, California, Washington state, Oregon, New Hampshire, Colorado, New York, the District of Columbia, New Mexico, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Virginia, Vermont, Hawaii and his home state of Delaware. He also won three of Maine's four electoral votes.
  • It has called Ohio, Iowa, Montana, Utah, Idaho, Missouri, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Indiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, West Virginia and Maine's 2nd congressional district for Trump.
Data: AP; Chart: Naema Ahmed, Andrew Witherspoon, Danielle Alberti/Axios

What we're watching: Democrats' hopes of winning control of the Senate faded as they lost a series of high-profile races. It could come down to Georgia, where both Senate races are headed to a runoff — meaning we won't know which party controls the Senate until January.

  • Democrat Mark Kelly unseated Republican Sen. Martha McSally in Arizona, and Democrat John Hickenlooper defeated Republican Sen. Cory Gardner in Colorado, per AP. Democrat Sen. Gary Peters also fended off a tough challenge in Michigan.
  • But Republican Tommy Tuberville unseated Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in Alabama, Republican Sen. Susan Collins was re-elected in Maine, and Republican Sen. Steve Daines was re-elected in Montana after a competitive race with Democratic Gov. Steve Bullock.
  • And Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham held onto his seat, defeating Democrat Jaime Harrison in one of the most closely watched Senate races in the country.

Go deeper

The Mischief Makers

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Several Republican and Democratic lawmakers are emerging as troublemakers within their parties and political thorns for their leadership.

Why it matters: We're calling this group "The Mischief Makers" — members who threaten to upend party unity — the theme eclipsing Washington at the moment — and potentially jeopardize the Democrats' or Republicans' position heading into the 2022 midterms.

Updated 29 mins ago - Politics & Policy

National Guard chief: Pentagon's "unusual" Jan. 6 restrictions led to 3-hour delay

William Walker, commanding general of the D.C. National Guard, testified Wednesday that a three-hour delay in approval for National Guard assistance during the Jan. 6 Capitol attack was exacerbated by "unusual" restrictions on his authorities by Pentagon leadership.

Why it matters: Walker testified that if Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy had not prohibited him in a Jan. 5 memo from using the National Guard's "Quick Reaction Force" without authorization, he would have "immediately" sent troops to the Capitol after receiving a "frantic call" from then-Capitol Police Chief Steven Sund.

1 hour ago - World

U.S.-Iran nuclear diplomacy is going nowhere fast

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Iran's cool response to the Biden administration's push for diplomatic engagement, along with rising tensions in the region, makes clear that salvaging the 2015 nuclear deal may be far more difficult than many had anticipated.

The state of play: Both the U.S. and Iran have entered the diplomatic dance, but it seems to be moving in circles.

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