Johnson and Jeffries hold the line ahead of government shutdown vote

• Speaker Johnson (R-La.) is convinced he has the Republican votes to pass a spending package on a party-line vote and avoid a government shutdown.
• Minority Leader Jeffries (D-N.Y.) is projecting confidence that he'll only lose a handful of Democratic votes.

They can both be right. The only firm GOP "no" is Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), and Jeffries and his team are whipping the vote, Axios reported Monday.

• The most likely Democratic defections told Axios they're leaning towards voting against the bill, including Reps. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas), Vicente Gonzalez (D-Texas) and Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.).
• For Republicans, there was last-minute heartburn tonight at the GOP whip meeting. Multiple members said in the closed meeting that they're holdouts, Punchbowl reported.
• Other Republicans signaled they're open to talk: Rep. Rich McCormick (R-Ga.) told CNN he's a no, but not a hard no. He said he hasn't spoken to Trump as of tonight.

The bottom line: If Jeffries holds the line, he'll have found his footing after last week, which ended with him confronting progressives who defied his guidance during President Trump's joint address to Congress.

• Jeffries first indicated on Friday that he might oppose a clean funding bill, a position that Democrats typically don't make.
• He doubled down on Saturday by announcing his "no" vote, then demanded his lawmakers follow suit.

Editor's note: This article has been updated to note that Jeffries is projecting confidence, not that he is confident.