Jan 9, 2024 - Politics & Policy

Nikki Haley solidifies New Hampshire polling surge

Republican presidential candidate former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley participates in a Fox News Town Hall on January 08, 2024 in Des Moines, Iowa

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley participates in a Fox News Town Hall on Jan. 8 in Des Moines, Iowa. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley has solidified her second-place polling in New Hampshire with two weeks until the first-in-the-nation primary, according to two polls out Tuesday.

Why it matters: Haley trails former President Trump in New Hampshire and nationally, but her positioning has increased over the last several weeks.

  • Trump is currently polling at 39% among likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, while Haley is at 32%, according to a CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.
  • Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie received 12%, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy received 8% and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis received 5%.
  • Haley is up 12 percentage points from the last CNN/UNH poll in November.

Between the lines: A separate USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University poll released Tuesday found that Haley trailed Trump in New Hampshire by a larger margin: Trump is at 46% in the poll compared to Haley's 27%.

  • Christie was in third with 12%, followed by DeSantis and Ramaswamy in the single digits.

Zoom out: Haley has seen a boost of momentum in the final weeks before the Republican primary officially begins, winning the backing from high-profile donors and securing the endorsement of New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu.

  • Haley has been battling with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to cement the second-place positioning as the top alternative to Trump ahead of the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses and Jan. 23 New Hampshire primary.

Methodology: The CNN New Hampshire poll was conducted online January 4-8 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Results among 914 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error +/- 3.2 percentage points.

  • The USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University poll was conducted Jan. 3-7 by live calls to landlines and mobile phones. The margin of error of 491 likely Republican primary voters was +/-4.4 percentage points.

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