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Data: Bully Pulpit Interactive; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios

In an effort to lure voters around issues like race relations, the Trump campaign has poured big money into Facebook ads about criminal justice reform.

Why it matters: It's a huge departure from his months-long campaign strategy of targeting hard-line supporters with ads discussing topics like the "fake news" media and immigration.

  • Now, the campaign is pushing more aggressively to address newer issues that experts think voters will consider more seriously in November.

The big picture: Top Republicans think that the election will hinge on four key issues — the economy, the coronavirus pandemic, China and race.

  • Polling suggests that the president's campaign fails miserably on race relations.

By the numbers: Prior to George Floyd's death, the Trump campaign spent less than $50,000 on Facebook ads addressing criminal justice.

  • Since two days after Floyd's death on May 25th, the campaign has poured nearly $6 million into Facebook ads about criminal justice, according to data from Bully Pulpit Interactive.
  • While spending on "fake news" has remained consistent, in the past two months the Trump campaign's investment in ads addressing criminal justice reform have surpassed "fake news" as a top policy issue in ad messaging.

Yes, but: The Trump campaign is also investing heavily in ads opposing defunding the police, which typically mention "law and order" and the "radical left," a topic that appeals to many Republicans and their concerns that the protests over police brutality will dismantle law enforcement.

  • Overall, the Trump campaign has spent roughly $45 million on Facebook ads since late May, while the Biden campaign has spent around $24 million.

Between the lines: Trump views helping Black Americans as a separate issue from police brutality. While he says he supports Black lives, he also argues vehemently against defunding the police and has criticized the "Black Lives Matter" movement as a "symbol of hate."

  • Instead, in response to widespread criticism over his handling of the Floyd protests, Trump and his reelection campaign hit back by promoting his work on criminal justice reform and touting that unemployment among African Americans has dropped since he took office.
  • His campaign has continued that approach in the months since the outcry over Floyd's death, and plans to emphasize this messaging during the Republican National Convention this week — including with a speech from Alice Marie Johnson, whose prison sentence Trump commuted.

The other side: The Trump campaign declined to comment. Jamal Brown, national press secretary for the Biden campaign, told Axios that "no amount of gaslighting or false ads about Joe Biden's record can help explain away Trump's racism."

  • "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris offer a better path forward to a safer, more equitable future, and we will spend every day between now and election day making that contrast known."

View the ads.

Go deeper

Dec 1, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Exclusive: Don Jr. tells Georgia Senate voters that Trump is on the ballot

Photo: Eva Marie Uzcategui T./Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

In a six-figure radio ad being released in Georgia today, Donald Trump Jr. tells the state's voters that the U.S. Senate — and his father's accomplishments — are on the line during January's special election, according to audio obtained by Axios.

Why it matters: Trump Jr.'s first of many advertisements in the Georgia Senate races argues the race isn't just about electing the Republican incumbents, but also about preserving President Trump's agenda.

Buffett eyes slow U.S. progress, but says "never bet against America"

Warren Buffett in New York City in 2017. Photo: Daniel Zuchnik/WireImage

Warren Buffett called progress in America "slow, uneven and often discouraging," but retained his long-term optimism in the country, in his closely watched annual shareholder letter released Saturday morning.

Why it matters: It breaks months of uncharacteristic silence from the 90-year-old billionaire Berkshire Hathaway CEO — as the fragile economy coped with the pandemic and the U.S. saw a contentious presidential election.

Restaurant software meets the pandemic moment

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Food delivery companies have predictably done well during the pandemic. But restaurant software providers are also having a moment as eateries race to handle the avalanche of online orders resulting from severe in-person dining restrictions.

Driving the news: Olo filed last week for an IPO and Toast is rumored to be preparing to do the same very soon.

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