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Speaking to Mike Allen at an Axios News Shapers event this morning, Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer said it was "90% likely" that the Democrats will win the House majority in 2018, and that he expects to pick up about 30+ seats.

Why it matters: There are at least 48 seats up for grabs in 2018, more than two-thirds of which are currently held by Republicans. Hoyer said that he's seeing two phenomena that lead him to believe the Democrats will win the majority.

  • First, there are "a lot of great candidates in a lot of districts." Not all of the races are competitive, but a large number are.
  • And second, an especially high number of GOP retirements and an overall lack of enthusiasm among Republican voters. "It wasn’t that Trump’s people voted for Doug Jones," Hoyer said. "It’s just that they didn’t turn out. I think there will be a depressed turnout in midterms because they’re not energized."

Go deeper

Updated 11 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Inauguration Day dashboard

Biden delivers his inaugural address on the West Front of the Capitol. Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

President Biden has delivered his inaugural address at the Capitol, calling for an end to the politics as total war but warning that "we have far to go" to heal the country.

What's next: The Celebrate America event, with remarks by Biden and Harris.

Bryan Walsh, author of Future
36 mins ago - Politics & Policy

President Biden faces a deeply broken America

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

As President Biden begins his term in office today, he'll be tasked with leading a country beset with deep, long-term problems.

Why it matters: Though the pandemic has made them worse, existential challenges around inequality, social alienation and political division in the U.S. were in place well before SARS-CoV-2 arrived on American shores. The country's future will depend in large part on whether the choices made over the next four years can flatten the curve of American decline.

Facebook, Instagram transfer accounts, followers to Biden administration

Screenshot of official White House Facebook account.

Facebook on Wednesday confirmed that it is transferring the millions of followers of the official Facebook and Instagram White House accounts to the Biden administration.

Details: The accounts for "@POTUS," "@VicePresident" ("@VP" on Instagram) and "@FLOTUS" are having the followers from their personal Pages and accounts be transferred over. It's unclear when that transition process will be complete.