Former President Trump seemed to come out ahead today as the Supreme Court debated whether he can be prosecuted for his attempts to overturn the 2020 election, Axios court watcher Sam Baker reports.

• Five justices may not ultimately endorse Trump's argument that former presidents are totally immune from prosecution for actions they took while in office.
• But several justices were open to the idea of sending the case back to lower courts for new hearings — which would prevent the Justice Department's case from going to trial before Inauguration Day.
• And any delay is a win for Trump.

🎯 Catch up quick: The court's six conservatives weren't always on the same page during nearly three hours of oral arguments today in Trump's immunity case.

• Justice Brett Kavanaugh was adamant about a relatively expansive interpretation of presidential immunity, while Justice Amy Coney Barrett was skeptical of Trump's sweeping position.
• A majority seemed to loosely coalesce around a rule that would give presidents some level of immunity for their official actions but not necessarily for their personal conduct — and let lower courts take another crack at drawing that line.

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Births in the U.S. fell by about 2% last year, bringing the country's fertility rate to its lowest point in nearly a century, Axios' Ivana Saric reports from new CDC data.

• The total number of births in the U.S. declined an average of 2% per year from 2015 to 2020, then rose slightly in 2021 — but has now fallen off again.
• Birth rates declined across nearly all racial groups.

1. 🚢 Baltimore opened a new, deeper shipping channel today, a major step toward fully reopening its cargo operations after the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge. Go deeper.
2. ⚖️ A New York appeals court overturned Harvey Weinstein's 2020 felony sex crime convictions and ordered a new trial. He will be transferred to California, where his 16-year sentence in a separate rape case still stands. Go deeper.
3. 🎓 The University of Southern California will cancel its main commencement ceremony after nearly 100 people were arrested on campus during pro-Palestinian demonstrations. Go deeper.

Amazon, Google and NBC are all trying to grab a piece of the NBA's next media deal, The Wall Street Journal reports.

• That would mean taking games away from the league's existing broadcast partners, Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery, who are still negotiating a deal to pay significantly more money, even for fewer games.