Axios Hill Leaders

July 11, 2025
Rowdy edition tonight! 659 words, 2.5 minutes.
- 😱 Senate megadrama
- 🚔 Trump plays bad cop
1 big thing: 😱 Senate megadrama

Sen. John Cornyn will have to keep praying for a President Trump endorsement in the GOP Senate primary in Texas, but today he got some direct intervention from a different source: his opponent's wife of 38 years.
Why it matters: The very public announcement from Texas state Sen. Angela Paxton that she would file for divorce from Texas AG Ken Paxton on "biblical grounds" might not save Cornyn, but it finally gives him an opening in a race that was slipping away.
- 📺 Before the divorce news, Trump was acting as a spectator-in-chief and not an endorser-in-chief.
- In a meeting with Senate Majority Leader Thune last night, Trump officials said they wanted to see if Cornyn could close his massive polling gap before the president puts his thumb on the scale, as Punchbowl News first reported.
- Both Cornyn and Paxton camps think a Trump endorsement could make or break their chances — but Cornyn needs it most right now.
✈️ NEWS: Cornyn will fly with Trump on Air Force One to Texas tomorrow, according to a Cornyn aide, as the president visits where flooding took the lives of more than 120 people.
Zoom in: The GOP establishment quickly pounced on the divorce bombshell.
- "What Ken Paxton has put his family through is truly repulsive and disgusting," NRSC spokesperson Joanna Rodriguez said in a statement.
- Another NRSC staffer reposted an old photo of John Cornyn and his wife, Sandy, celebrating an anniversary.
- SLF executive director Alex Latcham posted "Ezekiel 16:33," a Bible verse referencing gifts to prostitutes.
Zoom out: The nasty primary has been giving Republicans heartburn for months.
- Paxton has been above 50% in some private polls. He survived an impeachment hearing in 2023, when Angela Paxton first heard the accusation that he had a mistress.
- Republican leaders have pledged to help Cornyn in his uphill battle, but everyone acknowledges it will be expensive.
🤠 The bottom line: If Paxton wins the primary, Democrats are convinced he'd be a weak candidate who could finally allow them to flip the Lone Star State blue.
— Stef Kight and Hans Nichols
2. 🚔 Trump plays bad cop

The White House is pushing swing-seat Republicans away from running for higher office, warning members in Iowa, New York and Michigan that they need to save the party's razor-thin majority.
- 🚔 Why it matters: In public and in private, the White House is telling lawmakers that Trump wants them to stay in the House. And for some, he's pre-emptively endorsing their potential opponents in statewide races.
Driving the news: Swing-seat Rep. Zach Nunn is weighing a bid for Iowa governor, with a White House meeting next week.
- The White House is expected to deliver a strong message to Nunn, emphasizing the importance of holding the House, a source familiar with the matter told Axios.
- Nunn was rebuffed by party leaders when he floated the idea of running for Iowa's more conservative 4th Congressional District.
- But GOP leaders told him they don't want a proven incumbent to abandon a swing seat, a source familiar said.
The big picture: Reps. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.) and Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.) have also publicly floated bids for higher office.
- The White House sent a clear message to Lawler that Trump wants him to stay in the House, rather than run for governor. Trump has endorsed Lawler for reelection.
- Huizenga is weighing a run for Michigan's open Senate seat despite clear signals from Trump and Republican leadership they don't want him in the race. The NRSC has endorsed former Rep. Mike Rogers for the job, and Trump backed Rogers for Senate last cycle.
- Huizenga has told colleagues he'll wait until he has a meeting with Trump to discuss the race before making his next move, according to a person familiar with his thinking.
— Kate Santaliz
This newsletter was edited by Justin Green and copy edited by Kathie Bozanich.
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