Axios Hill Leaders

July 30, 2026
βοΈ Senate fly-out day! Tonight's edition is 749 words, 3 minutes.
- π Trump's Senate playbook
- π³ Big four get panned
1 big thing: π Trump's Senate playbook
President Trump has three go-to moves for GOP senators who frustrate him: persuade them when he can, ignore them when he must and bully them at will.
Why it matters: The approach doesn't always produce results. But it almost always provides drama.
π₯ Persuade: Trump dispatched two top deputies to the Senate GOP lunch yesterday to make the case, in person, for a third reconciliation bill with elements of the SAVE Act.
- Then he sent in the big guns. Chief of Staff Susie Wiles huddled with the Senate GOP leaders shortly after their lunch.
- When Trump faced a Senate rebuke over the Iran conflict last month, the White House aggressively lobbied wavering Republicans to flip their votes.
Ignore: Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche doesn't need Senate confirmation to do the job, Trump declared on Truth Social today.
- He can serve as acting attorney general indefinitely. Problem solved.
π₯ Bully: Trump began the week by demanding that Majority Leader John Thune scrap the filibuster and pass the SAVE Act.
- "Remember, stupidity always brings LOSING & DEATH!" Trump wrote.
π What we're watching: Bullying appeared to be Trump's preferred tactic this week. By yesterday, he was openly questioning whether Thune should remain majority leader.
- Thune's best defense was to downplay his own powers.
- πͺ "He thinks I can wave the magic wand," Thune told Politico. "I wish it were that easy."
- Trump's penchant for bullying has emboldened some senators to stand their ground β such as John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who have blocked Blanche's nomination. Both will be out of the Senate in January.
π Zoom in: Trump's anger with the Senate keeps flaring, despite Thune's success in rapidly confirming his nominees.
- With Jay Clayton's confirmation as director of national intelligence, the GOP-led Senate has confirmed 515 of Trump's nominees β with another batch of 74 on the way.
- π That's a faster pace than the first administration and leaves only a handful of civilian nominations remaining on the Executive Calendar.
- Trump now has the authority to install many of the remaining nominees in acting roles across the federal government.
π Zoom out: With one week left before the August recess, Senate Republican vibes are going from bad to worse.
- New polls show Americans continuing to sour on the GOP.
- The MAGA base is still enraged over the SAVE Act.
- Everything from the NDAA to crypto legislation is hitting roadblocks.
And Trump doesn't appear interested in easing the pressure on his own party.
The bottom line: Trump reserves the right to toggle among his three approaches, depending on his needs and mood.
- And while he can ignore the Senate on some personnel, he can't ignore it on legislation. He still needs 50 votes β or, in some cases, 60.
- "When crazy becomes the norm, it feels pretty routine," one GOP senator told us.
β Hans Nichols and Stef W. Kight
2. π³ Big four get panned


None of Congress' top four leaders came close to breaking even on their net favorability ratings in a new poll, with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer lodging by far the most negative reviews.
π‘ Why it matters: Schumer could face pressure to step down as leader after the November midterms amid criticism from the party's progressive base.
- 44% of respondents in the CNN/SSRS poll said they held an unfavorable opinion of Schumer, with 15% reporting a favorable opinion.
- In January 2017, it was an even split: 25% of poll respondents had a favorable view of Schumer and 25% an unfavorable one.
π Driving the news: House Speaker Mike Johnson, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and Thune also have seen their unfavorables trend upward in the CNN/SSRS poll.
- While Johnson's net favorability was up five percentage points since March, it's down nine percentage points from January 2025.
- Almost two-thirds of respondents βΒ 63% β said they either had no opinion of or had not heard of Thune, while 52% said the same about Jeffries. That's higher than for Johnson and Schumer.
π€ The intrigue: Former Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) remains even less popular than the four current leaders.
- More than half of respondents, 53%, said they held an unfavorable view of McConnell, who has been absent from the Senate since mid-June after a fall at his D.C. home. Just 11% reported a favorable view.
- McConnell's lengthy absence and past health scares are fueling speculation about his capacity to serve.
β Kathleen Hunter
This newsletter was edited by Kathleen Hunter and copy edited by Kathie Bozanich.
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