Indiana Senate set to vote on congressional redistricting

Reality check: That's a big if.

• For months, President Pro Tempore Rodric Bray (R-Martinsville) has been saying his caucus doesn't have the votes to pass a new map.
• There's no clear evidence that's changed.

What he's saying: "We'll vote and answer the question," Bray told reporters when asked this week if his caucus had the votes.

Zoom in: Republicans need at least 25 of their 40 members to support the bill. Lt. Gov. Micah Beckwith, a redistricting proponent, can break a tie.

• Our analysis of public statements finds 16 senators in support and 14 against redistricting.
• That leaves 10 question marks — three of which voted to move the bill forward in committee but said they may still vote "no" on the floor.

• All 10 Democrats are expected to vote against it.

State of play: After passing committee 6–3 Monday, it was unchanged on the Senate floor Wednesday after three Democratic-sponsored amendments were voted down.

What's next: The Senate will convene at 1:30pm Thursday to begin debate and take a final vote on the measure.

• If it passes, it will go to Gov. Mike Braun, who has pushed lawmakers to support it.