UH Poll: Menefee leads in Green in Democratic runoff

• The survey was fielded May 5-8 with 800 likely voters responding. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.46%.

What they found: Menefee, who has support from 50% of likely voters compared with 43% for Green, held strong leads among white and Latino voters and voters younger than 55, per the survey.

• Green maintained a slight edge among Black voters, 48% to 45%, and voters 55 and older, 48% to 46%.
• Green also led among Fort Bend County voters in the district, winning 55% support compared with 36% for Menefee.

What they're saying: "More than four out of five voters say they have a favorable opinion of both Menefee and Green," Renée Cross, researcher and senior executive director of the Hobby School, said in a statement.

• "Despite their favorable views of Green, we found that support for Menefee cuts across racial and generational lines, with some notable exceptions."

Follow the money: Menefee ($1 million) outraised Green ($256,000) in the first quarter of 2026.

Meanwhile, in the Republican runoff for the 9th Congressional District, former Harris County judge candidate Alex Mealer leads state Rep. Briscoe Cain by 9 points, according to the same survey.

• Half of likely voters said they support Mealer, while 41% said they plan to vote for Cain.

Of note: The 9th District poll surveyed only 400 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4.90%.

What's next: Early voting begins May 18. The runoff is on May 26.