A "tripledemic" collision of flu, COVID and RSV cases on the horizon
Respiratory illnesses in children are on the rise.
- RSV is a common respiratory virus among children that produces common cold symptoms.
- For most, a mild case lasts about two weeks. But some people, especially those with pre-existing health conditions, may suffer from more severe cases that can lead to hospitalization, according to the CDC.
By the numbers: RSV cases detected by PCR tests have tripled nationally in the last two months, per the CDC.
- U.S. case numbers have already reached 2021's peak levels.
Zoom in: Guliz Erdem, an infectious disease physician at Nationwide Children's Hospital says the hospital is full. Many — but not all — are RSV patients.
- "We are in 'surge mode' but not in 'panic mode'," Erdem tells Axios. "The timing is a bit different. I wouldn't say we are seeing more RSV this year but we are seeing it."
- Erdem says it's too early to tell whether this year will rival 2019-20, which she said was a substantial peak season of RSV.
How we got here: In pre-pandemic years, RSV would make its rounds in the fall and winter before going away in the summer, according to the Wall Street Journal.
- COVID-19 shifted the pattern, causing a dip in RSV as the coronavirus bullied its way through the population.
Yes, but: Erdem says that during the pandemic, people were diligent about practices like hand-washing, masking and avoiding large gatherings.
- These all could have potentially contributed to a drop in illnesses like RSV over the last two years.
- People returning to pre-pandemic ways of life could explain the early surge of cases.
What we're watching: The coming months are when illnesses historically peak, especially now there are little to no travel or masking restrictions.
- It is expected to be a rough season for sickness, with some predicting a "tripledemic" collision of flu, COVID and RSV cases on the horizon.
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