Updated Mar 11, 2018

How immigration could help vulnerable Dems in Trump states

Most voters in nine out of the ten states that voted for Trump and have Democratic senators up for reelection this year support DACA protections for immigrants brought to the U.S. illegally as children, and majorities in every state think that undocumented immigrants working in the U.S. should be given a pathway to citizenship, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls.

Expand chart
Data: SurveyMonkey polls conducted February 12-March 5, 2018Poll Methodology; Note: "No answer" responses excluded; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Why it matters: Democrats need to pick up two seats to regain control of the Senate and, as we wrote earlier this week, could lose ground in these races. But polling has shown that most Americans blame Republicans more than Democrats for not finding a solution to protect "Dreamers," and think Trump wants to deport them. The support for DACA and pathways to citizenship could help Senate Democrats keep their seats.

Expand chart
Data: SurveyMonkey polls conducted February 12-March 5, 2018Poll Methodology; Note: "No answer" responses excluded; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Yes, but most of these competitive states have fairly low levels of immigrants. In 2016 and 2014, Pew Research found that American's voter priorities were jobs, the economy, national security/terrorism and health care before immigration.

Methodology: These SurveyMonkey/Axios online polls were conducted February 12- March 5, 2018 among a total sample of 17,289 registered voters living in Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Montana, North Dakota.

Go deeper

Biden formally secures Democratic presidential nomination

Joe Biden speaks at Delaware State University's student cente on June 5. Photo: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden became the formal Democratic presidential nominee on Friday evening, per AP.

The big picture: Biden has been the presumptive frontrunner to take on President Trump since Sen. Bernie Sanders suspended his campaign in early April.

Updated 4 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 9 p.m. ET: 6,724.516 — Total deaths: 394,018 — Total recoveries — 2,996,832Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 9 p.m. ET: 1,894,753 — Total deaths: 109,042 — Total recoveries: 491,706 — Total tested: 19,231,444Map.
  3. Public health: WHCA president says White House violated social-distancing guidelines to make reporters "a prop" — Jailing practices contribute to spread.
  4. Sports: How coronavirus could reshuffle the sports calendar.
  5. Jobs: Better-than-expected jobs report boosts stock market.
  6. Media: The Athletic lays off 8% of staff, implements company-wide pay cut.

Scoop: German foreign minister to travel to Israel with warning on annexation

Heiko Maas. Photo: Michael Kappeler/picture alliance via Getty Images

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas is expected to travel to Israel next week to warn that there will be consequences if Israeli leaders move forward with plans to annex parts of the West Bank, Israeli officials and European diplomats tell me.

Why it matters: Israeli and European officials agree that if Israel goes ahead with unilateral annexation, the EU will respond with sanctions.