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Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Cook Political Report on Friday moved its outlook for 20 House races toward Democrats.

Why it matters: President Trump's troubles are spilling over to affect Republicans down the ballot — which could foreshadow a blue wave in November.

  • Dave Wasserman, Cook's House editor, tweeted: "I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction."

The state of play: Republicans need to pick up 18 seats to win the House back in 2020, but the tide is firmly moving against that hope.

  • The changes moved four races from "lean Republican" to "toss up."

The big picture: Trump is notably trailing Joe Biden in the polls — by double digits, in many cases — less than four months before the election.

  • Earlier this month, Cook forecasted that November could bring "a Democratic tsunami than simply a blue wave."

Worth noting: Not every race that moved in Democrats' favor is being labeled as a likely Democratic win, but Wasserman says that those races are "essentially an anti-Trump wave watch list."

Cook's moves (District: incumbent - change in rating) ...

  • Ariz.-02: Ann Kirkpatrick (D) - Likely D to solid D.
  • Calif.-04: Tom McClintock (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Calif.-39: Gil Cisneros (D) - Lean D to likely D.
  • Colo.-06: Jason Crow (D) - Likely D to solid D.
  • Ind.-05: Susan Brooks (R), not running - Lean R to toss up.
  • Kan.-02: Steve Watkins (R) - Likely R to lean R.
  • Minn.-01: Jim Hagedorn (R) - Likely R to lean R.
  • Minn.-03: Dean Phillips (D) - Likely D to solid D.
  • Neb.-02: Don Bacon (R) - Lean R to toss up.
  • N.C.-08: Richard Hudson (R) - Likely R to lean R.
  • N.C.-09: Dan Bishop (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Ohio-01: Steve Chabot (R) - Lean R to toss up.
  • Ohio-12: Troy Balderson (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Penn.-08: Matt Cartwright (D) - Toss up to lean D.
  • Texas-03: Van Taylor (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Texas-06: Ron Wright (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Texas-21: Chip Roy (R) - Lean R to toss up.
  • Texas-25: Roger Williams (R) - Solid R to likely R.
  • Va.-10: Jennifer Wexton (D) - Likely D to solid D.
  • Wash.-03: Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) - Likely R to lean R.

Go deeper

Lindsey Graham raises $28 million in third quarter

Photo: Susan Walsh/Pool/AFP via Getty Images

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) announced Tuesday his campaign raised $28 million in the third quarter — a quarterly fundraising record for Republican Senate candidates, but less than half of the staggering $57 million his Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison raised.

Why it matters: Graham, a close ally to President Trump and the chair of the powerful Senate Judiciary Committee, is facing the toughest re-election battle of his Senate career.

3 hours ago - Sports

Unvaccinated athletes face 21-day quarantine at Beijing Olympics

Logos for the 2022 Winter Olympics at Yanqing Ice Festival in February 2021 in Beijing. Photo: Lintao Zhang/Getty Images)

Athletes, staff members and journalists at the 2022 Beijing Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games who have not been vaccinated against the coronavirus will be required to quarantine for three weeks, the International Olympic Committee (IOC) outlined in its newly-published "playbooks."

Why it matters: The quarantine period is longer than the Games themselves, meaning vaccinations or an earlier arrival date will be required to participate in or cover the Games.

Dan Primack, author of Pro Rata
5 hours ago - Economy & Business

FTX CEO predicts more U.S. crypto flight

Photo: "Axios on HBO"

FTX doesn't look much like a company valued at $25 billion. Its new headquarters, located in a sleepy part of The Bahamas, is so nondescript as to not even have a sign. But it does expect to soon have neighbors.

Driving the news: Founder and CEO Sam Bankman-Fried tells "Axios on HBO" to expect "more and more crypto flight from the states" if the U.S. doesn't soon create a regulatory regime for cryptocurrencies.