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Macro

Axios Macro

That Y2K feeling: Why today's economy resembles 2000

Warning signs are flashing on the AI trade. Here's where to spot them

Risk radar is beeping&nbsp;

Data: FactSet; Chart: Axios/Matt Phillips

Warsh signals steady Fed outlook despite inflation jump

Fed's Beige Book tells inflation story

The too-hot-for-comfort economy

A column chart that shows monthly Producer Price Index change from September 2025 to September 2026. The change ranges from minus 0.12% in June 2026 to 1.34% in September 2026. Gains accelerate through spring 2026, dip negative in June, then rebound through late summer.

Monthly change in Producer Price Index

Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chart: Courtenay Brown/Axios

America's wits' end election approaches

How much change voters say they want to see in how the country is run

New inflation warning sign

Social Security recipients will see rise in monthly payments next year

A column chart that shows annual Social Security cost-of-living adjustments from 2017 to 2027. The adjustment rises from 0.3% in 2017 to a peak of 8.7% in 2023, then falls to 2.5% in 2025 before edging up to 3.6% in 2027.

Social Security cost-of-living adjustments

Data: Social Security Administration; Chart: Neil Irwin/Axios

Inflation heats up as gas prices surge

A line chart that tracks monthly overall inflation and inflation excluding food and energy from January 2021 to September 2026. Overall inflation rises from 1.4% to 9% in June 2022, then eases to 2.3% in April 2025 before climbing to 3.7% by September 2026.

Year-over-year change in Consumer Price Index

IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience"

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