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Photos: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images; Scott Olson/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is set to finish in fifth place in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, AP projects, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren in fourth.

Why it matters: The 2020 race has long been a four-way fight that includes Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg. But Sen. Amy Klobuchar has been inching upward.

  • Klobuchar seems likely to finish in the top three Tuesday night.

Between the lines: Biden saw the writing on the wall in New Hampshire. Expecting a low performance in the state, he opted instead to head to South Carolina Tuesday, where he's the long-standing front-runner.

  • But his lead has been shrinking. While he once had a 31-point lead in South Carolina, a Post and Courier/Change Research poll from Feb. 2 showed him still in first, but with only a 5-point lead on Sanders (25%/20%).

And Warren still has reason for concern. Although she's set to come in fourth Tuesday, she was expected to do better in the first-in-the-nation primary. New Hampshire and her home state of Massachusetts share media markets, and she had geographically advantageous name recognition.

  • But Sanders, whose home state of Vermont also neighbors New Hampshire, shared the same advantage.

Go deeper

Bryan Walsh, author of Future
24 mins ago - Health

Schools face an uphill battle to reopen during the pandemic

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

President Biden's plan to accelerate the reopening of K-8 schools faces major challenges from a still out-of-control pandemic and more contagious coronavirus variants.

Why it matters: The longer American kids miss in-person schooling, the further they fall behind. But the uncertain state of the science on the role young children play in the pandemic continues to complicate efforts to reopen schools.

Focus group: Former Trump voters say he should never hold office again

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

"Relief" is the top emotion some swing voters who used to support Donald Trump say they felt as they watched President Biden's swearing-in, followed by "hope."

Why it matters: For voters on the bubble between parties, this moment is less about excitement for Biden or liberal politics than exhaustion and disgust with Trump and a craving for national healing. Most said Trump should be prohibited from ever holding office again.

Updated 14 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

  1. Health: Most vulnerable Americans aren't getting enough vaccine information — Fauci says Trump administration's lack of facts on COVID "very likely" cost lives.
  2. Politics: Biden unveils "wartime" COVID strategyBiden's COVID-19 bubble.
  3. Vaccine: Florida requiring proof of residency to get vaccine — CDC extends interval between vaccine doses for exceptional cases.
  4. World: Hong Kong to put tens of thousands on lockdown as cases surge.
  5. Sports: 2021 Tokyo Olympics hang in the balance.
  6. 🎧 Podcast: Carbon Health's CEO on unsticking the vaccine bottleneck.

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