Feb 12, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Biden and Warren disappoint in New Hampshire primary

Photos: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images; Scott Olson/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is set to finish in fifth place in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, AP projects, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren in fourth.

Why it matters: The 2020 race has long been a four-way fight that includes Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg. But Sen. Amy Klobuchar has been inching upward.

  • Klobuchar seems likely to finish in the top three Tuesday night.

Between the lines: Biden saw the writing on the wall in New Hampshire. Expecting a low performance in the state, he opted instead to head to South Carolina Tuesday, where he's the long-standing front-runner.

  • But his lead has been shrinking. While he once had a 31-point lead in South Carolina, a Post and Courier/Change Research poll from Feb. 2 showed him still in first, but with only a 5-point lead on Sanders (25%/20%).

And Warren still has reason for concern. Although she's set to come in fourth Tuesday, she was expected to do better in the first-in-the-nation primary. New Hampshire and her home state of Massachusetts share media markets, and she had geographically advantageous name recognition.

  • But Sanders, whose home state of Vermont also neighbors New Hampshire, shared the same advantage.

Go deeper

New Hampshire primary: Live updates

Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images

Sen. Bernie Sanders is projected to win the New Hampshire primary, followed by former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, according to multiple media reports.

The big picture: Businessman Andrew Yang and Sen. Michael Bennet have dropped out of the race, with early returns showing disappointing results for former VP Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Feb 12, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Biden to head straight to South Carolina ahead of New Hampshire results

Joe Biden campaigning in South Carolina in November. Photo: Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Campaigns are already deploying staff, surrogates and even the candidates themselves to South Carolina to get a jump start on what many view as the most important of the early-voting states.

Driving the news: Joe Biden said that he will be skipping his New Hampshire primary night party to fly to South Carolina this evening, where he will address New Hampshires supporters via livestream as results roll in.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Feb 11, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Poll: Joe Biden loses status as most electable Democrat

Photo by Sean Rayford/Getty Images

The share of Democratic primary voters who believe Joe Biden has the best chance out of any 2020 candidate to beat President Trump has dropped to 17%, down 12 points since the New Hampshire primary, according to a Morning Consult national poll.

Why it matters: Biden's electability pitch is widely considered his core appeal as a candidate.