Photo: Michael Brochstein/Echoes Wire/Barcroft Media via Getty Images

Joe Biden leads President Trump in six key battleground states, according to New York Times/Siena College polling released Thursday.

Why it matters: The states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin and North Carolina — were all won by Trump in 2016 and were instrumental in his Electoral College victory.

  • Biden's lead extends to double digits in some of the states — 11 points in Michigan and Wisconsin and 10 points in Pennsylvania. He leads by nine points in North Carolina, seven points in Arizona and six points in Florida.
  • Trump's poor standing is driven by an erosion in support from white voters, one of his key constituencies.
  • That trend has been noted by other outlets as well. Cook Political Report moved Michigan from "toss up" to "leans Democratic" last week, citing Trump's sliding numbers in a state heavily populated by his white, working-class base.

By the numbers: Voters' views on Trump's handling of the economy remains a bright spot for the president — 56% of those in the battleground polling approve of his economic policies.

  • But Trump faces headwinds on his handling of the protests against police brutality and racial injustice as only 31% believe he has handled them well.
  • 55% of the battleground voters said they believe the federal government should be working to limit the spread of the coronavirus, even if it hurts the economy, while just 35% said the federal government needs to restart the economy.

The big picture: The Times' national poll has Biden ahead by 14 points — 50% to 36% — and his margins have widened amid the coronavirus pandemic and protests.

Methodology: This poll was conducted from June 8 to 18 and has a sample size of 3,870 registered voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin and North Carolina. The margin of sampling error for an individual state poll ranges from plus-or-minus 4.1 to 4.6 percentage points. The margin of sampling error on the full battleground sample is plus-or-minus 1.8 percentage points.

Go deeper: Biden's campaign raises more than Trump's for first time in 2020

Go deeper

Polls show Trump has fight on his hands in Kansas and Montana

Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Public and private polling shows President Trump "not only trailing badly in swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin, but running closely with [Joe] Biden in traditionally conservative bastions like Kansas and Montana," the New York Times reports.

Why it matters: Trump won each of those states in 2016 by 20 points. If he's in dogfights there, his map is on fire.

Axios-Ipsos poll: Americans fear return to school


Data: Axios/Ipsos poll; Note: ±7% margin of error; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

Most U.S. parents say it would be risky to send their children back to school in the fall — including a slim majority of Republicans and a staggering nine in 10 Black Americans — in this week's installment of the Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index.

Why it matters: President Trump and Education Secretary Betsy DeVos have threatened to withhold federal funds from schools that don't reopen. The new findings suggest that this pressure campaign could backfire with many of the voters to whom Trump is trying to appeal ahead of the election.

Polling increasingly suggests Texas will be a swing state in November

Photo: Spencer Platt/Win McNamee/Getty Images

Eight polls released publicly and rated by FiveThirtyEight since the beginning of June indicate that President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are in a dead heat in Texas, with Biden up by an average of 0.3% with 114 days to go until the election, CNN reports.

Why it matters: The once-Republican stronghold has become more competitive in recent years and is likely to be a presidential swing state in November. A Democratic candidate for president has not won Texas since 1976.