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Expand chart
Data: Real Clear Politics average; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios

Sen. Bernie Sanders is projected to win the New Hampshire Democratic primary, according to NBC News, ABC News and Decision Desk HQ.

State of play: Former Mayor Pete Buttigieg narrowly trails Sanders, with Sen. Amy Klobuchar in 3rd.

Why it matters: Tuesday's results usher in the first concrete win of the 2020 primary season. Sanders and Buttigieg each claimed victory in Iowa following errors in caucus reporting and have asked for partial recanvasses.

  • Based on current results released by the Iowa Democratic Party, Buttigieg narrowly took home the most pledged delegates, which ultimately determine the party nominee.
  • Next up are the Nevada caucuses and South Carolina primaries, both states where Sanders is polling well.
  • Buttigieg is likely to face a tough go in those two states, which are significantly less white than Iowa and New Hampshire. The former mayor has largely struggled to gain traction with voters of color.

The big picture: New Hampshire was a sort of homecoming for Sanders after he firmly won the state in the 2016 primaries against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

  • While Sanders has faced concerns over electability, polling shows him making gains nationally. A national Quinnipac poll released Monday showed the senator in a commanding lead at 25% while former Vice President Joe Biden trailed in second at 17%.

Sanders at his speech tonight: "With victories behind us, popular vote in Iowa and the victory here tonight, we're going to Nevada. We're going to South Carolina. We're going to win those states as well."

  • "I want to take the opportunity to express my appreciation and respect for all of the Democratic candidates we ran against ... I can tell you with absolute certainty, and I know I speak for every one of the Democratic candidates, is that no matter who wins — and we certainly hope it's going to be us — we're going to unite together."

Go deeper: Bernie Sanders on the issues, in under 500 words

Go deeper

“You blew it”: GOP activist turns on corporations over vaccine mandates

The chairman of the American Conservative Union said on "Axios on HBO" he accepts "Joe Biden is my president, and I want him to succeed," but predicted Republicans retake the House and Senate in 2022 — with greater than 50% odds Donald Trump runs in 2024.

The big picture: In a joint interview with his wife, Mercedes, Matt Schlapp also refused to share their vaccination status. And he told corporate America "you blew it" by embracing vaccine mandates and liberal social stances that have alienated GOP voters and politicians.

48 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Pelosi expects “billionaire’s tax” to pay for Biden social spending

Photo: Yasin Ozturk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said Sunday she expects the chamber to pass the bipartisan infrastructure plan by week’s end, and alternatives to corporate tax hikes and a “billionaires tax” will be used to finance President Biden’s promised expansion to the social safety net.

Why it matters: Pelosi’s comments come as House and Senate leaders try to wrap up a deal. What will get cut — and how the remainder will be paid — are linchpins to a final agreement.

Dan Primack, author of Pro Rata
49 mins ago - Axios on HBO

FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried mystified by value of NFTs

Crypto exchange FTX, valued last week at $25 billion, recently launched an NFT marketplace by selling an image of the word "Test" for $270,000.

  • FTX founder and CEO Sam Bankman-Fried tells "Axios on HBO" that he doesn't quite understand the appeal, but adds that he doesn't personally appreciate many visual arts.