Lula beats Bolsonaro to win Brazil presidential election

Rebecca Falconer

Split-screen portrait: left shows a younger man with dark hair and light stubble in a blue shirt; right shows an older man with white hair and a gray beard in a beige suit; both look slightly upward. — Combination images of right-wing senator and presidential candidate for the Liberal Party (PL) Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Photo: Evaristo SA and Sergio LIMA/AFP via Getty Images

Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was elected to a fourth, nonconsecutive term in the nation's presidential election, according to early results released Sunday evening.

Why it matters: Lula's victory deals a setback to Brazil's right-wing populist movement and preserves a major counterweight to President Trump's influence in Latin America, with tensions over trade and tariffs threatening to persist.

Lula, the incumbent candidate, was facing Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. Flávio was widely seen as the heir to the nation's right-wing populist movement.

The latest: Lula thanked the Brazilian people after his election win, but Bolsonaro told reporters he would not accept the results and said they should be annulled, according to translations.

The big picture: The election has been shaped by the impact of U.S. tariffs, climate change and the Amazon rainforest, 60% of which is in Brazil.

Bolsonaro campaigned on public security and tackling corruption, presenting himself as a continuation of his father's political legacy, while Lula emphasized defending Brazilian sovereignty against U.S. pressure.
Yet substantive policy debate was limited, with both candidates focusing instead on corruption allegations levied against the opposing camp, wrote Matthew Taylor, a Brazil politics expert at American University.

Zoom in: After the U.S. imposed additional 25% tariffs on some Brazilian goods this summer, Lula accused Bolsonaro of being "Trump's candidate" and the U.S. president of wanting to "colonize" Brazil.

Lula has enacted climate policies aimed at reversing environmental deregulation under the previous administration, while Bolsonaro denied climate change and pledged to continue his father's political legacy.
Amazon deforestation has fallen 71% since 2022, the year before Lula returned to office, reaching its lowest annual level on record in 2026. Yet Lula's environmental record is complicated by his support for expanded oil development.
Lula defeated Jair Bolsonaro in the previous election. The elder Bolsonaro is now serving a 27-year prison sentence for plotting a coup to overturn the 2022 election, though he remains under house arrest due to health problems.

Go deeper: Brazil's markets rally after Flávio Bolsonaro's first-round lead

Editor's note: This story has been updated with comment from the presidential candidates.

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Lula beats Bolsonaro to win Brazil presidential election

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