Netflix raises guidance on earnings beat
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Netflix on Thursday raised its guidance for 2025 after soaring past investor expectations on revenue and earnings per share.
Why it matters: Netflix's earnings results, presented early on in earnings season, typically serve as a bellwether for other entertainment companies.
- But Netflix's powerful slate of hits in the second quarter could suggest its success is an outlier.
By the numbers: Netflix said its revenue grew 15.9% last quarter compared to the same three-month period a year ago.
- Its quarterly revenue of $11.08 billion, beat analyst estimates, as did its earnings of $7.19 per share.
- The company now expects full-year revenue between $44.8 billion and $45.2 billion, up from its previous forecast for $43.5 billion to $44.5 billion.
- Its higher forecast, it said in an investor letter, "primarily reflects the weakening of the US dollar vs. most other currencies, plus healthy member growth and ad sales."
Zoom out: Netflix's success last quarter can be largely attributed to strong series that drove record-high engagement, such as the final season of "Squid Game" and the third season of "Ginny & Georgia," per Nielsen.
- Netflix recorded the largest monthly uptick among streaming platforms in June, Nielsen said. Last month, Netflix commanded 8.3% of TV viewing in the U.S.
- Netflix said it's optimistic about the second half of the year, thanks to several new series and shows, including the second season of "Wednesday" and the final season of "Stranger Things."
Between the lines: Like most U.S. entertainment companies, Netflix is also monitoring how the Trump administration plans to implement potential tariffs on foreign-made content.
- In its earnings letter to investors, the streaming giant said, "Our most significant investment remains in the U.S."
- It added that from 2020 to 2024, "we estimate that we contributed $125 billion to the U.S. economy."
The big picture: With more than 300 million global subscribers and a consistently profitable streaming business, Netflix has set the bar for the rest of Hollywood's entertainment giants.
- The company no longer reports incremental subscriber figures each quarter and has pivoted to focus on revenue and profit growth to measure success.
- Wall Street has applauded the streamer for its ability to convert attention into dollars, even as it lags traditional entertainment companies when it comes to its ad business.
- Netflix's stock is up 43% so far this year, outperforming most of its rivals like Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount which have gained between 10% and 24% year to date.
- Netflix's market cap of $542 billion is more than double Disney's ($219 billion), and more than 17x WBD's ($31.7 billion).
What to watch: Netflix has been investing more in live programming, especially around sports, as it looks to beef up its ad sales opportunities.
- The company will air the highly anticipated Canelo vs. Crawford live boxing match on Sept. 13th. It also has the rights to both Christmas Day NFL games again this year.
