Jan 6, 2025 - Politics & Policy

Trump, China and AI: Ian Bremmer's top risks for 2025

Mike Allen

Illustration of the earth in the shape of a traffic cone — Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Ian Bremmer, in his closely watched annual risk forecast, warns that the world has entered "a uniquely dangerous period of world history, on par with only the 1930s and the early Cold War."

The big picture: "People everywhere are facing heightened geopolitical instability driven by a lack of global leadership," writes Bremmer, the president and founder of Eurasia Group, in its "Top Risks 2025" report.

"We are heading back to the law of the jungle, where the strongest do what they can, while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must."

Zoom in: Topping the list out Monday is the arrival of GZERO — the global order "slipping away."

"No single power or group of powers is willing or able to set a global agenda. It's a world of many pretenders, but no leaders."

The report's other top risks are:

2. The Rule of Don

3. U.S.-China breakdown

4. Trumponomics

5. Russia still rogue

6. Beggar thy world

7. Iran on the ropes

8. Mexican standoff

9. Ungoverned spaces

10. AI unbound

Flashback: Bremmer's group ranked "The United States vs. itself" as the No. 1 risk heading into last year, a nod to the high stakes 2024 election.

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Trump, China and AI: Ian Bremmer's top risks for 2025

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