Jun 1, 2024 - Politics & Policy

Poll: 49% of Independents think Trump should drop out post-guilty verdict

Trump stands in front of a microphone against a U.S. flag backdrop

Trump speaks from the lobby of Trump Tower on Friday. Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

One of the first polls conducted since a New York Jury found Donald Trump guilty of falsifying business records find that a significant minority of Republicans and Independents want him to drop out and a majority of registered voters approve of the jury's decision.

Why it matters: The Morning Consult poll conducted on Friday offers some of the first clues about how voters are reacting to the unprecedented situation.

By the numbers: 54% of registered voters "strongly" or "somewhat" approve of the guilty verdict compared to 34% who "strongly or "somewhat" disapprove.

  • 49% of Independents and 15% of Republicans said Trump should end his campaign because of the conviction.
  • The polls found the race effectively tied nationally in a 1-on-1 with Biden at 45% and Trump at 44%.

Reality check: While they may agree with the guilty verdict, the poll found that more voters think Trump should get probation (49%) rather than go to prison (44%).

  • 68% of registered voters said the punishment should be a fine.

The poll also revealed some deep distrust of the criminal justice system.

  • Three in four Republican voters said the verdict made them feel less confident in the system.
  • And 77% of GOP voters, as well as 43% of independents, said they believed the conviction was driven by motivation to damage Trump's political career.
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