Mar 28, 2024 - Politics & Policy

Dems fear Trump win more than Republicans fear Biden: Poll

President Biden and former President Trump speaking into their microphones

President Biden and former President Trump. Photos: Jason Bergman/Bloomberg via Getty Images; Win McNamee/Getty Images

Democrats are more angry and fearful about a potential second Trump term compared to GOP attitudes toward President Biden being re-elected, new polling reveals.

Why it matters: There's a bipartisan lack of enthusiasm for a Biden-Trump rematch in November, though anger and fear are powerful emotions simmering beneath the surface.

  • 66% of Democrats identified as "extremely/very" fearful and 60% as "extremely/very" angry when asked how they'd feel if former President Trump won in November, per an AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll published this week.
  • 49% of Republicans said they were "extremely/very" fearful about re-electing Biden, while 45% felt "extremely/very" angry.
  • About 4 in 10 adults feared another Trump term, compared to 3 in 10 who felt the same regarding a Biden re-election.

Between the lines: Nobody's too excited, either.

  • Roughly a quarter of Americans expressed satisfaction or excitement about either candidate winning another term.
  • 40% of Democrats said they'd be "extremely/very" excited if Biden won, while 54% of Republicans said they'd be "extremely/very" excited about another Trump administration.

Zoom out: Even before Biden and Trump became their respective parties' presumptive nominees, public polling showed voters feeling uninspired.

  • Recent polling also shows Biden making significant gains against Trump in the past month in six of seven 2024 swing states, Axios' Alex Thompson reports.

Friction point: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — who's polling better than any independent candidate in decades is also a wild card in the race.

  • His independent bid has worried Democrats that it could help Trump defeat Biden.
  • However, Kennedy recently described his campaign as "a spoiler for President Biden and for President Trump," per the New York Times.

Go deeper: America is Big Mad

Methodology: The poll surveyed 1,282 adults March 21–25, and had a margin of sampling error of ±3.8 percentage points.

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