May 18, 2019

2020 election polls: Biden, Sanders battle for first primary votes

Joe Biden. Photo: Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden has maintained a double-digit lead against his 2020 Democratic competitors, with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) coming in 2nd place — even in some states Sanders managed to secure during the 2016 Democratic primaries.

The big picture: Some observers are drawing parallels between Biden's current campaign and Hillary Clinton's 2016 run, including courting the same donors and addressing the economic woes of middle class Americans, reports the New York Times. However, Biden is polling higher in Iowa and New Hampshire — both states Sanders won in 2016 against Clinton, per FiveThirtyEight.

By the numbers:

  • Iowa: Biden is currently polling at 35%; Sanders polling at 14%. In 2016, Sanders took Iowa with 49.8% of the votes.
  • New Hampshire: Biden is currently polling at 36% with Sanders polling at 18%. In 2016, Sanders took New Hampshire with 60.2% of the votes.
  • Nevada: Biden is currently polling at 29% with Sanders polling at 24%. In 2016, Sanders took 47.3% of the votes.
  • South Carolina: Biden is currently polling at 46% with Sanders polling at 15%. In 2016; Sanders took 26% of the votes.

National polls:

  • Quinnipiac: Biden (38), Warren (12), Sanders (11), Buttigieg (10), Harris (8), O'Rourke (5) and no other candidate gets above 2%.
  • RealClearPolitics: Biden (39), Sanders (16), Warren (8), Harris (7), Buttigieg (6), O'Rourke (4) and the other candidates are 2% or less.

Context: Many older black voters support Biden after serving as President Obama's vice president, reports the New York Times. However, Biden struggles to connect with younger voters the same way Sanders does, per the Post and Courier.

Sanders' biggest hurdle is in South Carolina where he is trying to court black voters, who he struggled to appeal to in 2016. Black voters make up 60% of the Democratic voting bloc in South Carolina. He released an education plan that focuses on reducing racial and economic segregation as part of a renewed effort to appeal to black voters.

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