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Data: PRRI/The Atlantic 2018 Civic Engagement Survey; Chart: Naema Ahmed

Almost two-thirds of black Americans say they are "absolutely certain to vote," according to a new survey by The Atlantic and PRRI. And at higher numbers than white or Hispanic youths, black Americans say their close friends are voting, too.

Why it matters: Barack Obama triggered a surge of votes from black Americans in 2008 and 2012, giving him the edge in several states. President Trump could have a similar effect in the Nov. 6 mid-terms — although for the opposite reason

In other results from the survey:

  • 74% of young black Americans see Trump unfavorably.
  • 83% of registered black American voters would support a Democrat over a Republican.
  • But, "African Americans are less likely to say over the last two years they’ve become more civically engaged. They’re less likely to say they’ve considered running for office, and less likely than whites to say they’re likely to consider a career in government," Robert P. Jones, CEO of PRRI, told The Atlantic.

What to watch: Women across the board are more likely to be civically or politically engaged. More than a quarter of young women say they are more interested in political and civic activities than they were in 2016, compared with just 17% of young men.

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