President Trump cited data from Rasmussen Reports' latest daily tracking poll in a Sunday tweet, claiming his support is "much higher" than President Obama's at the same point during his first term. He cited a nearly identical stat from the historically Republican-leaning poll almost exactly a year ago.

Between the lines: Rasmussen's most recent numbers indeed show that 50% of voters approve of Trump, but RealClearPolitics' polling average puts his approval rating at 42.5%. Their average approval rating for President Obama at this point in his term was 48%.

Two other big-name polls were released today, showing good news and bad news for Trump and his party in equal measure:

An ABC News/Washington Post poll gave Trump his highest approval rating in a year at 40%. Americans view his handling of the economy relatively evenly — and his approval rating in the Midwest jumped to 48%, thanks to his tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum.

  • Yes, but: 56% of Americans disapprove of his performance as president.
  • And there's this: "His average approval rating after 15 months in office (38-57 percent approve/disapprove) is the lowest on record in polls dating to the Truman administration."

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll gave Democrats a 47% to 40% edge over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot ahead of this fall's midterms.

  • A big stat: Democrats logged a 66% to 49% edge over Republicans in expressing a "high level of interest" in the midterm elections. The GOP had a 66% to 49% lead in the same stat in 2010 before their Tea Party sweep of Congress.
  • Good news for the GOP: That 7-point Democratic lead is down from 10 points in the same poll in March.
  • The bottom line: "But the poll doesn’t show 'knockout numbers' for Democrats, which gives Republicans a chance of retaining control of Congress, says Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, who conducted this survey with Democratic pollster Peter Hart and his team at Hart Research Associates."

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Updated 29 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Politics: Chris Christie: Wear a mask "or you may regret it — as I did" — Senate Democrats block vote on McConnell's targeted relief bill.
  2. Economy: Why the stimulus delay isn't a crisis (yet).
  3. Health: The pandemic is getting worse again New York reports most cases since MayMany U.S. coronavirus deaths were avoidable.
  4. Education: Boston and Chicago send students back home for online learning.
  5. World: Spain becomes first nation in Western Europe to exceed 1 million cases — France becomes the second.

Biden says he will appoint commission on Supreme Court reform

Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Joe Biden told CBS' "60 Minutes" this week that if elected, he would put together a bipartisan commission to study the federal court system and make recommendations for reform.

Why it matters: Biden has come under pressure to clarify his position on court packing after some Democrats suggested expanding the court if Senate Republicans confirm President Trump's Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
59 mins ago - Economy & Business

Wall Street still prefers bonds

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photo: Sunset Boulevard/Getty Contributor

Investors' return on U.S. corporate bonds has been falling since its August peak, but buying has only accelerated, especially in investment grade bonds that are offering historically low yields.

The state of play: Since hitting its 2020 high on Aug. 4, the benchmark Bloomberg Barclays U.S. bond aggregate has delivered a -2.2% return. (For comparison, the S&P 500 has gained 3.9% during the same time period.)